According to the data monitoring of the business agency, the domestic market of cis-1,4-polybutadiene rubber decreased slightly during the week (12.7-12.11), with the price at 11670.00 yuan / ton at the beginning of the week and 11390.00 yuan / ton at the weekend, down 2.40% as a whole.

This week (12.7-12.11), the ex factory price of domestic cis-1,4-butadiene rubber and petrochemical manufacturers was reduced by 200 yuan / ton. According to the monitoring of business agency, as of December 11, the ex warehouse price of Daqing cis-1,3-butadiene of Northeast Sales Company of CNPC was implemented at 11300 yuan / ton; the price of cis-1,3-butadiene rubber of Sinopec North China sales company was stable, Qilu Shunding was quoted as 11300 yuan / T, and Huabei warehouse raised the price; Yanshan Shunding company offered 11220 yuan / T, and Huabei warehouse raised the price.

The supply side of Shunding market is basically stable. On the one hand, the operating rate of cis-1,4-polybutadiene rubber in China increased slightly this week. According to the business association, the start-up load of Yanshan gaoshunding has returned to normal recently, while Wanda Shunding plant has continued to shut down. On the other hand, the traffic in Northeast China gradually recovered after the snow, and the supply of Shunding in Daqing was normal, and the supply of domestic Shunding market was restored this week.

Raw material prices fell this week, the cost of cis-1,4-polybutadiene rubber support weakened. As of December 11, the butadiene price was 9490 yuan / ton, down 3.71% from 9856 yuan / ton at the beginning of the week, according to the business agency.

On the demand side, at present, the downstream tire operating rate continues to maintain above 70%, and the tire raw material storage period is around 20 days, which still has strong support for BR.

Aftermarket forecast: business agency analysts believe that at present, the price of raw material butadiene falls, but the downstream demand has certain support, and it is expected that the price of cis-1,4-polybutadiene rubber will fluctuate and consolidate in the short term.

Domestic cyclohexanone market rose this week after finishing. According to the monitoring data of the business agency, the average price of cyclohexanone in the domestic market was 6700 yuan / ton at the beginning of the week, and 6816 yuan / ton at the weekend. The price increased by 1.74% during the week, increased by 16.03% month on month, and decreased by 5.1% year-on-year.

Within the week, Sinopec listed its pure benzene twice, increasing 300 yuan / ton to 4600 yuan / ton. Under the support of cost, the offer of cyclohexanone factory was raised to 7200 yuan / ton. Although the downstream caprolactam Sinopec was raised by 300 yuan to 11500 yuan / ton, the enthusiasm of external cyclohexanone extraction was not so positive, the solvent was purchased on demand, the delivery rate of cyclohexanone slowed down, the market supply was abundant, and the general transaction atmosphere was general.

Price summary of cyclohexanone by Region:

Region, price

7450-7550 yuan / ton in East China

In South China, 7450-7550 yuan / ton is delivered in cash

7300-7400 yuan / ton in Shandong Province

From the perspective of supply and demand, the short-term commercial volume of cyclohexanone is stable, the downstream chemical fiber and solvent market demand is general, and the wait-and-see atmosphere is relatively strong. Coupled with the recent restart of Shandong Haili and Zhejiang Juhua plans, the spot supply of caprolactam may be alleviated to a certain extent, and the cost support is weak. Business community cyclohexanone analysts expect that the short-term market of cyclohexanone is mainly sorted out.

During the week (11.30-12.4), the price of nitrile rubber remained high. According to the monitoring of the business agency, the price of nitrile rubber on November 30 was 19233.33 yuan / ton, and on December 4, it was 19300.00 yuan / ton. The price continued to maintain a high level with a slight increase of 0.35%.

First of all, the ex factory price of NBR in China is basically stable. According to the monitoring of business agency, as of December 4, the price of NBR in Lanzhou Petrochemical Company was stable: at present, the price of NBR in n41e was 17300 yuan / ton; in 3305e, it was 17900 yuan / ton; in 3308e, it was 18800 yuan / ton; in Ningbo shunze, the ex factory price of NBR was stable, at present, the NBR of 3355 factory was 18600 yuan / ton.

Secondly, the price of raw materials remains high, and the cost side is still strongly supported. According to the monitoring of the business agency, as of December 4, the butadiene price was 9856 yuan / ton; as of December 4, the ex factory price of acrylonitrile Shanghai Secco was 13000 yuan / ton. The prices of raw materials are in the high stage.

Finally, the epidemic situation in foreign countries is becoming more and more serious. The number of confirmed cases and deaths continues to increase. The demand for medical nitrile rubber latex gloves is still strong, resulting in the tight supply of nitrile rubber, which forms a strong support for the whole nitrile market.

Aftermarket forecast: NBR analysts believe that the high price of raw materials, coupled with strong downstream demand, NBR prices will continue to remain high in the short term.

1、 Price trend

The comprehensive price of potassium chloride rose this week. This week, the average price of mainstream comprehensive quotation of potassium chloride rose from 2125.00 yuan / ton at the beginning of the week to 2160 yuan / ton at the end of the week, up 35 yuan / ton or 1.65%. Overall, potassium chloride market rose this week, and the potassium chloride commodity index on December 4 was 68.57.

2、 Market analysis

This week, the price of mainstream manufacturers of potassium chloride Rose: the factory price of Qinghai Salt Lake potassium chloride at the weekend was 2020 yuan / ton, which was 70 yuan / ton higher than that at the beginning of the week; the marketing quotation of Anhui Badou potassium chloride at weekend was 2300 yuan / ton, which was temporarily stable compared with the beginning of the week. The actual turnover of potassium chloride market this week is not good. Overall, the main contradiction in the market is that supply exceeds demand, the trading atmosphere is cold, the downstream procurement is mainly on demand, the overall inventory is low, the purchasing market momentum is low, and the domestic potassium chloride market is stable.

3、 Future forecast

The overall trend or high consolidation of potassium chloride Market in mid early December. The market of potassium chloride is facing the pressure of three mountains, namely, the large stock in Hong Kong, the weak demand and the downward trend of international prices. Therefore, the main contradiction in the current market is that supply exceeds demand. Potassium chloride analysts of the business club believe that the short-term potassium chloride market is mainly composed of high-level consolidation under the influence of supply and demand and raw materials.

According to the monitoring of business agency, the price trend of domestic anhydrous hydrofluoric acid rose slightly this week. As of the end of the week, the market price of hydrofluoric acid was 8570 yuan / ton, 1.42% higher than the price of 8450 yuan / ton at the beginning of the week, with a year-on-year decrease of 14.73%.

Recently, the domestic hydrofluoric acid price has risen slightly. Up to now, the mainstream price of domestic hydrofluoric acid is 8000-8500 yuan / ton, and the domestic hydrofluoric acid trading market is mainly higher. Recently, the domestic hydrofluoric acid spot supply is slightly tight, and the on-site price is rising slightly.

First of all, the market price trend of hydrofluoric acid raw material fluorite is stable. As of the end of the week, the domestic fluorite price is 2616.67 yuan / ton. Recently, the domestic spot supply of fluorite is sufficient, and the on-site shipment is not positive, and the price trend of fluorite is stable. By the end of the weekend, the mainstream of domestic fluorite negotiations was 2500-2700 yuan / ton. The stable price of fluorite in the field was the cost support of hydrofluoric acid market. The domestic hydrofluoric acid market price went up due to the shortage of supply.

The market of domestic refrigerants rose slightly this week. In recent years, the sales market of automobile industry is general, and the market of refrigerants has improved. The trend of refrigerant industry is general, and the market of various types of refrigerants has slightly increased. However, the manufacturers are under pressure to ship, and the sales pressure is large. The growth rate of raw material hydrofluoric acid is limited, and the support force is general. The export volume of refrigerants has little change and the downstream is empty Adjusted output is low, demand is scarce, after-sales market off-season effect continues, refrigerant prices rise little. On the whole, the refrigerant market is generally supported by favorable factors, the price continues to be low or will become normal, and the transaction center of gravity remains low. At present, the load of refrigerant R22 manufacturers is not high, the inventory is in a reasonable range, and the market price remains at a low level. However, the downstream receiving capacity is limited, and there is a lot of wait-and-see mood. The actual delivery of goods is not smooth. The actual transaction center of gravity is slightly increased, and some businesses still have the phenomenon of cost inversion. The mainstream of on-site negotiation is 13000-15500 yuan / ton. The domestic R134a market trend rose slightly, but the auto market industry continued to be depressed and the transaction atmosphere was light. There is sufficient supply of goods in the market, and there are new production capacity entering the market in the future market. The competition is fierce. The supply side gradually forms a negative situation, and the price rises slightly. However, the downstream demand does not significantly improve, and the price trend of hydrofluoric acid market rises slightly.

Third, the domestic spot supply of hydrofluoric acid is slightly tight, and the hydrofluoric acid market price has risen slightly due to the partial maintenance of hydrofluoric acid devices in the field. So far, the mainstream hydrofluoric acid negotiation in the southern region is 8000-8500 yuan / ton, while the hydrofluoric acid price in the northern market is 8000-8800 yuan / ton. Recently, the price trend of domestic hydrofluoric acid market has not changed a lot. Some manufacturers report that hydrofluoric acid exists in the cracks, some manufacturers still have losses, and the stock market is still poor.

On the whole, due to the little change in the price of raw material fluorite, the prices of downstream refrigerant products have risen slightly. In addition, the on-site spot supply of hydrofluoric acid is slightly tight due to the recent overhaul of some domestic hydrofluoric acid units. Chen Ling, an analyst of hydrofluoric acid in the business agency, thinks that the market price of hydrofluoric acid may rise slightly.

According to the statistics of the business agency, on November 30, the average spot market price of 32S polyester yarn in Jiangsu, Zhejiang and Shanghai was about 13375 yuan / ton, which was the same as last week, with a year-on-year decrease of 7.03%. The downstream market prepared goods for the new year, but the orders for the shopping festival were gradually completed, the follow-up orders were weak, the loom started to decline, and the inventory of polyester yarn enterprises increased month on month.

Recently, the transaction of yarn market is flat, and the purchase and sales tend to be cautious. The epidemic situation repeatedly causes the market to worry about the demand. The market uncertainty factors are large. The export orders are slightly weak in recent years. Compared with the same period in previous years, the number of double order varieties is obviously delayed. Due to the influence of European epidemic situation, some orders of early proofing varieties are also delayed. Orders are mainly in small batches, and new orders are few. In the market of medium and high count yarn, the factory list is full, and the price has not been reduced. Some prices have been raised. The price of coarse yarn has dropped a lot, so the factory will purchase on demand.

The cost side is good for support, and the recent continuous rise of crude oil is good for market production and sales, and the stronger upstream raw material price forms a strong support for the cost. Staple fiber spot production and sales hot, a small number of manufacturers quoted a small increase. Only a small number of manufacturers are willing to pay about RMB 5.50-5.5 tons of staple fiber, and only a small number of manufacturers are willing to pay about RMB 5.50-5.5 tons of staple fiber. In the futures market, staple fiber Futures (2105) closed higher at 6096, up 90, or 1.5%, from Friday. The rise of crude oil and PTA rebound led to the rebound of polyester staple fiber futures, and the rebound of futures led to a sharp recovery of spot production and sales. However, affected by demand constraints, the spot polyester staple fiber is difficult to continue to strengthen.

After the orders of “double 11″ and “double 12″ in the downstream market are gradually delivered, the new orders are not good, and the weaving start-up rate is decreased. The order peak of home textile printing and dyeing enterprises has eased, the order quantity tends to be flat, the inquiry of home textile grey cloth is not warm, and the goods are prepared on demand. Recent factory orders are relatively small, mainly old customers. The market has just recovered, such as a flash in the pan, affected by the epidemic situation, and later more confused. The recent orders have fallen down compared with the previous period, and the order volume has decreased significantly. There are more customized inquiries and less actual orders. In recent years, export orders have rebounded compared with previous years, but the order volume is not large compared with previous years. The soaring sea freight leads to the increase of expenses, the price of fabric is more bitter, the inquiry of customized fabric is increased, the development lofting is more, and the actual order is rarely implemented. Although the international epidemic situation continues, some countries have good signs such as resumption of work and recovery.

According to business agency analysts, as domestic textile products are mainly dependent on exports, and the appreciation of RMB to around 6.5, small and medium-sized textile enterprises relying on price are facing great challenges. These labor-intensive products will not compete with some Southeast Asian countries in terms of price due to the appreciation of RMB exchange rate. The reduction of orders and the loss of foreign exchange settlement are the common challenges faced by these foreign trade enterprises. A staff member of a yarn foreign trade enterprise admits that the price is usually pushed to a very low level by customers due to the requirements of competition. When enterprises encounter the loss of RMB exchange rate, coupled with the rise of raw materials and shipping freight, the business pressure of enterprises increases greatly. With the advent of the traditional off-season, polyester yarn prices may weaken in December.

1、 Price trend

According to commodity data monitoring, isopropanol prices rose sharply this month. At the beginning of this month, the average price of isopropanol in China was 7900 yuan / ton, and the average price at the end of this month was 10566.67 yuan / ton. The price of isopropanol increased by 33.76% within the month.

2、 Market analysis

Chart: comparison chart of acetone and isopropanol price trend from September to November

The price of isopropanol in China rose sharply this month. In the international market, isopropanol closed stable in the US market on the 24th, and isopropanol in the European market was basically stable on the 24th. In January, the price of acetone in domestic market rose sharply, followed by isopropanol, and slightly decreased at the end of the month. Up to now, the negotiation range of isopropanol in Shandong Province is about 10500-11000 yuan / ton, and that in Jiangsu Province is about 10500 yuan / ton. Zhejiang isopropanol negotiation range is around 10200 yuan / ton.

In terms of raw materials, according to the monitoring of bulk commodity data, the price of acetone rose this month. At the beginning of the month, the average price of domestic acetone was 6775 yuan / ton, and the average price at the end of this month was 9450 yuan / ton. The price of acetone increased by 39.48% within the month. The acetone market rose a lot this month, which strongly supported isopropanol, and the price of isopropanol also went up.

Propylene, according to the monitoring of commodity data, propylene prices rose this week. At the beginning of the month, the average price of domestic acetone was 6737.36 yuan / ton, and the average price at the end of this month was 7739.18 yuan / ton, and the price was increased by 14.87% within the month. At present, the inventory of propylene manufacturers is small, and the crude oil price has dropped slightly, but the downstream market is better and the increase is more obvious. Therefore, it is expected that the propylene price will continue to rise in the near future.

3、 Future forecast

Isopropanol analysts from the chemical branch of business club believe that: the market price of raw material acetone has risen sharply, the market price of propylene has been raised, and the cost support is strong, which has boosted the price of isopropanol. In terms of demand, the current export situation is relatively stable. Domestic market demand is general, many manufacturers do not offer. It is expected that the price of isopropanol will fall slightly in the short term, and follow-up attention will be paid to the changes in the news.

As of November 27, the average price of acetic acid in East China was about 3300 yuan / ton, up 2.59% compared with the beginning of the week and 24.84% higher than that at the beginning of the month. At present, there are 3150-3300 yuan / ton in Shandong, 3400-3500 yuan / ton in Jiangsu, 3450-3550 yuan / ton in Zhejiang, 3250-3300 yuan / ton in Henan, 3250 yuan / ton in Hebei, 2850 yuan / ton in Northwest China and 3500-3600 yuan / ton in South China.

This week, the domestic acetic acid market supply is still tight. Although some parking and maintenance enterprises gradually resume production, the gap in the market supply side is still difficult to make up for. Enterprises are pushing forward with the trend, and the downstream market is buying rigid demand, which conflicts with the high price of acetic acid, and the game atmosphere between supply and demand in the industry is intensified.

Affected by the weather in some areas of methanol market, there is no quotation for shutdown and maintenance of units. The inventory of production enterprises is not high, and the attitude of the industry is mostly optimistic. At present, the profits of traders are fair, and the domestic methanol market is expected to fluctuate in the short term. On the downstream side, due to the high production cost and the maintenance of some enterprises, the market supply of acetate is tight, and the price continues to rise. As a whole, there is a certain resistance to the high price of acetic acid. The future market should pay attention to the market situation of raw materials.

Recently, the supply of international acetic acid market is tight, and the price of acetic acid in various regions has been running steadily. At present, the acetic acid Market in Asia is about 430-450 US dollars / ton; the European market is about 560 euro / ton; and the North American market is about 490 US dollars / ton.

The acetic acid analysts of the business society believe that the domestic acetic acid market continues to rise, and the enterprises in North China have reduced the supply of goods in the market. However, the downstream industries and traders have been mainly buying the rigid demand recently, which is in conflict with the high price of acetic acid. The enthusiasm of the trade in the industry is declining. It is expected that the acetic acid market will be stable in a short period of time.

According to the data monitored by the business agency, as of November 25, the average price of domestic rubber grade white carbon black was 4766.67 yuan / ton, which was running smoothly and just needed to be purchased. The price remained stable, and the overall market supply and demand were balanced. The quotation range was maintained between 4000-5000 yuan / ton, with smooth shipment and sufficient inventory.

The domestic rubber grade silica market has a stable trend. At present, the shipment is smooth, the negotiation atmosphere is general, and the demand is not good. The downstream just needs to purchase, and the merchants take the goods carefully, and the shipment is slow. At present, the price of fumed silica is about 22000 yuan / ton. The domestic supply and demand of fumed silica are balanced, and the shipment is slow. The Changtai micro nano factory in Shouguang City, Shandong Province, 5300 yuan / ton, Shandong Lihua new materials Co., Ltd Ltd. 5100 yuan / ton, Boai County Xiangsheng silicon powder Co., Ltd. 4100 yuan / ton.

The quotation of upstream hydrochloric acid market manufacturers is temporarily stable, and the market trend is stable. The quotation is mainly stable. The trading atmosphere is maintained at the previous level. In the short term, the hydrochloric acid market mainly operates stably.

On November 24, the chemical index was 863, down 2 points from yesterday, 15.06% from the highest point 1016 (2012-03-13), and 44.31% higher than the lowest point 598 on April 8, 2020. (Note: period refers to 2011-12-01 to now)

White carbon black analysts believe that: in the short term, the silica market maintains a stable operation situation, and the price fluctuation range is limited. (the above prices are provided by major silica manufacturers all over the country and sorted out and analyzed by business silica analysts for reference only. Please contact relevant manufacturers for more price details.)

According to the data monitored by the business agency, as of November 20, the average price of domestic rubber grade white carbon black was 4766.67 yuan / ton, which was running smoothly and just needed to be purchased. The negotiation focus was stable, and the overall market supply and demand were balanced. The quotation range was maintained between 4000-5000 yuan / ton, with smooth shipment and sufficient inventory.

The rubber grade silica market is stable, the manufacturer’s quotation is stable, the negotiation atmosphere is general, the demand is not good, the downstream just needs to purchase mainly, take the goods carefully, the delivery is slow, the logistics is smooth, the current gas phase silica price is about 22000 yuan / ton, the domestic supply and demand of fumed silica is balanced, the shipment is slow, Shandong Shouguang Changtai Weina factory is 5300 yuan / ton, Shandong Lihua new materials Co., Ltd Ltd. 4800 yuan / ton, Boai County Xiangsheng silicon powder Co., Ltd. 4200 yuan / ton.

The upstream hydrochloric acid market price rose slightly, the downstream just needed to purchase, the trading atmosphere maintained the previous level, the cost support was general, and the current status was maintained in the short term.

On November 19, the chemical index was 854 points, up 6 points compared with yesterday, 15.94% lower than 1016 points (2012-03-13), and 42.81% higher than 598 points, the lowest point on April 8, 2020. (Note: period refers to 2011-12-01 to now)

White carbon black analysts believe that: in the short term, the silica market maintains a stable operation situation, and the price fluctuation range is limited. (the above prices are provided by major silica manufacturers all over the country and sorted out and analyzed by business silica analysts for reference only. Please contact relevant manufacturers for more price details.)