On April 17, the fluorite commodity index was 99.12, unchanged from yesterday, down 22.25% from the peak of 127.49 points in the cycle (2019-01-03), and up 101.42% from the low of 49.21 points on December 18, 2016. (Note: Period refers to 2011-09-01 to date)

According to statistics, the domestic fluorite price trend is temporarily stable, the average domestic fluorite price is 2825 yuan/ton as of the 18th day. Recently, the domestic fluorite plant started normally, the mine and flotation plant started normally, the fluorite supply in the field is normal, and the recent downstream commodity market is general. For the fluorite market, the price trend of fluorite Market shocks when it is purchased on demand. In recent years, the downstream units started to work poorly, the fluorite spot supply in the field was normal, and the downstream terminal receipt was not good, which led to a slight decline in market price trend. As of the 18th, the price of 97 fluorite wet powder in Inner Mongolia was 2700-3000 yuan/ton, the mainstream of 97 fluorite wet powder in Fujian was 2600-3000 yuan/ton, the price of 97 fluorite wet powder in Henan was 2600-3000 yuan/ton, the price of 97 fluorite wet powder in Jiangxi was 2700-3000 yuan/ton, and the price trend of fluorite remained volatile.

The price trend of hydrofluoric acid Market in downstream fluorite is rising. As of 18 days, the domestic market price of hydrofluoric acid is 10383.33 yuan/ton. The rising market price of hydrofluoric acid has a positive impact on the upstream fluorite market. However, the recent start-up of hydrofluoric acid plant has declined, the demand for fluorite has weakened, and the price of fluorite has oscillated. Recent downstream refrigerant products start at a low level, the upstream fluorite and hydrofluoric acid demand is general, the recent downstream refrigerant trading market is general, hydrofluoric acid products prices slightly lower. Recent downstream refrigerant market transactions are cool, R22 refrigerant facility starts at 60%, R22 market facility start-up rate is temporarily stable, the main manufacturer of bulk water factory offer price is between 18,000-18,800 yuan/ton, but the manufacturer does not have bulk water spot, mainly a small number of cylinders shipped. In addition, the actual demand side of the market has not changed much, and the delivery quotation is general. Domestic market price trend of R134a shocks, production enterprises equipment start-up rate remains low, refrigerant market demand is general, manufacturers mainly export. But the on-site transaction price does not change much. Businessmen buy on demand. Generally speaking, the downstream industry is in a general market. In addition, the fluorite market supply is normal. Fluorite prices are stable temporarily. Business analyst Chen Ling believes that the fluorite market price may maintain a volatile trend.

On April 16, the hydrofluoric acid commodity index was 94.15, up 2.5 points from yesterday, down 32.96% from the peak of 140.43 points in the cycle (2018-02-21), and up 75.69% from the low of 53.59 points on November 30, 2016. (Note: Period refers to 2011-09-01 to date)

According to statistics, the domestic hydrofluoric acid market price trend was temporarily stable on the 17th. Up to now, the domestic hydrofluoric acid market price is 10 375 yuan/ton, and the domestic hydrofluoric acid start-up rate is less than 60%. Enterprises reflect that the supply of hydrofluoric acid on the spot has declined. Recently, the market is in general. Due to the high raw material fluorite, some hydrofluoric acid manufacturers limit production and guarantee prices, the market price of hydrofluoric acid is slightly higher. Rise. At present, the mainstream of hydrofluoric acid negotiations in the southern region is about 10,000-10,500 yuan/ton, while the price of hydrofluoric acid in the northern market is 10,000-11,000 yuan/ton. Domestic hydrofluoric acid market prices rose slightly, spot supply decreased slightly, but demand was not actually good, hydrofluoric acid market price trend is temporarily stable.

Recent downstream refrigerant products start at a low level, the upstream fluorite and hydrofluoric acid demand is general, the recent downstream refrigerant trading market is general, hydrofluoric acid products prices rose slightly. Recent downstream refrigerant market transactions are cool, R22 refrigerant facility starts at 60%, R22 market facility start-up rate is temporarily stable, the main manufacturer of bulk water factory offer price is between 18,000-18,800 yuan/ton, but the manufacturer does not have bulk water spot, mainly a small number of cylinders shipped. In addition, the actual demand side of the market has not changed much, and the delivery market has increased. The domestic market price trend of R134a is temporarily stable, the start-up rate of production enterprises remains low, the refrigerant market demand is general, and the manufacturers mainly export their products. However, the on-site transaction price does not change much. Businessmen purchase on demand. Recently, due to the poor market situation, the price trend of hydrofluoric acid market is temporarily stable.

Refrigerant on-site transactions are general, refrigerant industry equipment start-up rate remains low, for upstream hydrofluoric acid market demand is normal, but the spot supply of hydrofluoric acid has decreased, Business Analyst Chen Ling believes that the hydrofluoric acid market may rise slightly.

Price Trend

According to the price monitoring of business associations, as of April 16, the average price of domestic methanol market was 2 370 yuan/ton, and the domestic methanol market continued to decline.

II. Market Analysis

Products: Domestic methanol performance is not good, ports and inland parts are declining to varying degrees; among them, the port extension is now linked, at this stage, security supervision on some downstream demand constraints continue to exist, such as formaldehyde, pharmaceuticals, with the port depot, follow-up supply and other repression, the negative driving force released by the Eastern market on the inland production areas gradually reflects, and although currently in the northwest; However, due to the weak follow-up of consumer market demand and the general enthusiasm of the downstream market entry, the spring inspection factor in 2019 has a relatively limited substantial boost effect after the previous over-hype. Therefore, driven by the supply-demand game, the overall performance of the short-term market is expected to be relatively weak.

In terms of freight, domestic freight for methanol has been sorted out, with reference to 160-230 yuan/ton for freight from northern Inner Mongolia to northern Shandong and 150-260 yuan/ton for freight from southern Shandong to northern Shandong. Part of Shanxi is 100-150 yuan/ton to the north of Shandong Province, and reference is 140-180 yuan/ton from Guanzhong to the north of Shandong Province and 130-180 yuan/ton to the south of Shandong Province. Ningxia to North Shandong 270 yuan/ton, Shenhua to North Shandong 290-300 yuan/ton, Xinjiang to North Shandong 550-710 yuan/ton.

Industry chain: formaldehyde: raw material methanol is weak finishing, under safety supervision, formaldehyde in the lower reaches of Shandong Province has partially recovered, but the overall start-up is still low, formaldehyde Market Trading appears weak and stable. Linyi is now around 1400 yuan / ton, Zibo and its surrounding areas are maintained at 1500 – 1550 yuan / ton. Acetic acid: The domestic glacial acetic acid market was stable at the beginning of the week, and the industry was more cautious. At the weekend, some devices returned to normal, and the overall start-up rate increased to about 75%. Therefore, supply is expected to increase. In addition, downstream demand is still poor, acetate and chloroacetic acid products market is still weak. Export negotiations are still routine and there is not much good news coming from them. At present, domestic oversupply will continue. Dimethyl ether: Dimethyl ether Market is stable and small push, market atmosphere is still acceptable. Major units are supported by sudden positive, but the momentum for continued growth is insufficient. It is expected that the domestic dimethyl ether market will be stable or moderate in the short term.

3. Future Market Forecast

Business Cooperatives Viewpoint: On the positive side, the supply side: spring in Northwest China is relatively concentrated, local supply side is relatively tight, and the price of goods is tightly supported; downstream devices: some downstream restart news, later partial demand side or slightly improved. On the bearish side, futures: the day futures market showed a downward trend, and the spot market declined accordingly; arrival: late shipment arrival concentrated, we need to be alert to the rhythm of inventory accumulation; demand side: at present, some downstream devices have not been restored, and demand side performance is weak. Methanol analysts from business associations predict that the overall performance of the domestic methanol market in the short term is relatively weak.

Price Trend

According to commodity data monitoring, the price of Yungui yellow phosphorus fell slightly this week. The average price of yellow phosphorus was 15325 yuan/ton at the beginning of the week and 15200 yuan/ton at the end of the week. Within the week, the price fell by 0.82%.

II. Market Analysis

Products: Yellow phosphorus prices fell slightly this week. At present, market transactions are light, downstream enterprises have low start-up rate, traders have strong wait-and-see sentiment, yellow phosphorus market demand is not good, lack of support. At present, the main transaction price of yellow phosphorus in Yunnan is 14700-15000 yuan/ton. The mainstream transaction price in Sichuan is about 15,200 yuan/ton. The main transaction price of yellow phosphorus in Guizhou is about 15 300 yuan per ton.

Industry chain: Most mines in the domestic phosphate ore market have resumed mining this week, with increased supply and high overall inventory. The main ex-factory quotation range of Yunnan phosphate ore market is 350-450 yuan/ton. In-plant coke inventory remained at a moderate to high level. This week, coke prices were stable. The mainstream market price of Panzhihua coke (secondary metallurgical coke) was around 2080 yuan/ton. The downstream enterprises of yellow phosphorus have insufficient start-up rate and light demand.

3. The analysts of yellow phosphorus in the future forecast business and social chemical branch believe that the overall demand for Yunnan-Guizhou yellow phosphorus is light, the downstream demand is in a wait-and-see state, the procurement activity is not high, there is no good support in the field, and it is expected that there will be a downward trend in the later period.

Price data

According to the data from the business associations’list, the domestic sulfur market fell this week, with the average price of granular sulfur leaving the factory at the beginning of the week at about 1133.33 yuan/ton, and the average price of granular sulfur leaving the factory at the weekend at about 113.33 yuan/ton, with a drop of 1.76% in the week.

II. Market Analysis

Products: This week, the sulfur market is mainly weak, and some factories have finished replenishing goods. Businessmen are watching rationally and the market is quiet. At the beginning of the week, refineries in various regions in China adjusted their prices according to their own shipments. The price of sulphur in Shandong area of Sinopec was reduced by 30 yuan/ton, the mainstream price of solid sulphur was 1160-1170 yuan/ton, the mainstream price of liquid sulphur was 1030-1120 yuan/ton, the mainstream price of sulphur in North China was lowered by 10-30 yuan/ton, the mainstream price of solid sulphur was 1000-1060 yuan/ton, and the mainstream price of liquid sulphur was 960-1060 yuan/ton. 。

Industry chain: The price of downstream sulphuric acid fell, with 377.50 yuan/ton at the beginning of the week and 352.50 yuan/ton at the end of the week, with a drop of 6.62% in the week. This week, the bromine market has been running steadily and the average price of bromine has remained around 34954.55 yuan/ton in the week, up 26.58% from the same period last year. In the short run, the sulfuric acid market is not very volatile. Considering the arrival of centralized maintenance plan for sulfuric acid enterprises, the market supply is reduced, and the price is likely to rise flexibly. It will also adjust flexibly for the upstream sulfur market.

3. Future Market Forecast

Sulphur analysts from the business society chemical branch believe that with the convening of the industry meeting, the market performance is quiet and trading is limited, the current market price trend is running smoothly, and refineries around the country perform generally. In the short run, the sulphur market will continue to be weak.

Price Trend

According to the monitoring data of business associations, as of April 10, the average price of domestic cyclohexanone market was 9,600 yuan/ton, and the domestic market of cyclohexanone continued to rise.

II. Market Analysis

Products: Cyclohexanone market continues to rise, downstream chemical fiber procurement enthusiasm is still acceptable, manufacturers spot is not much, external quotations continue to rise, solvent market just need to purchase, the market trading atmosphere is good. The mainstream offer of cyclohexanone in North China market is delivered in cash from 9900 to 10000, the mainstream offer in East China market is delivered in cash from 10200 to 10400, and the mainstream offer in South China market is delivered in cash from 10500 to 10700.

Industry chain: pure benzene: East China pure benzene price slightly fell. Influenced by Taihua parking news, FOB Korea pure benzene rose sharply in early trading. The difference between internal and external prices widened to more than 500 yuan/ton, boosting the offer of pure benzene to about 4700 yuan/ton. It was heard that trading volume reached 4500 yuan/ton in May. However, in recent years, although the price of pure benzene is high, the turnover is mostly reversed by traders, the port inventory has not declined, and is still around 245,000 tons. Caprolactam: The price of pure benzene in East China dropped slightly. Influenced by Taihua parking news, FOB Korea pure benzene rose sharply in early trading. The difference between internal and external prices widened to more than 500 yuan/ton, boosting the offer of pure benzene to about 4700 yuan/ton. It was heard that trading volume reached 4500 yuan/ton in May. However, in recent years, although the price of pure benzene is high, the turnover is mostly reversed by traders, the port inventory has not declined, and is still around 245,000 tons.

3. Future Market Forecast

Cost support is still acceptable, downstream chemical fiber procurement is general, but the manufacturers of cyclohexanone spot is not much, there is no delivery pressure. Cyclohexanone analysts from business associations predict that the short-term market for cyclohexanone will be stable and moderate.

I. Trend analysis

According to business association data monitoring, domestic cis-butadiene rubber prices fell slightly this week (4.1-4.4). Prices at the beginning of the week were 1,1300 yuan/ton, and prices at the weekend were 1,1175 yuan/ton, a slight drop of 1.11%.

II. Market Analysis

Petrochemical ex-factory price: This week (4.1-4.4), the ex-factory price of domestic cis-butadiene rubber petrochemical plants was reduced by 200 yuan/ton, and as of April 4, the ex-factory price of cis-butadiene rubber in Daqing Petrochemical Company was 11,200 yuan/ton.

Rubber import and export: Domestic rubber import continued to decrease in February 2019. It is understood that in February 2019, China imported 371,000 tons of natural and synthetic rubber. In January-February, China imported 990,000 tons of natural and synthetic rubber. The total volume in January-February decreased by 7.9% compared with the same period last year.

Raw materials: raw material butadiene prices fell slightly this week, the cost side dragged down the price of cis-butadiene rubber. Business associations monitored 8,155 yuan per ton of butadiene at the beginning of the week and 7,911 yuan per ton at the end of the week, a drop of 3.0%.

Demand: The main downstream tire production of synthetic rubber has declined, to a certain extent, forming a negative impact on the price of cis-butadiene rubber. According to business associations, the domestic tire output in February 2019 was 11.218 million, down 7.3% from the same period last year.

3. Prospects for the Future Market

Xu Xiaokun, an analyst with business associations, believes that at present, on the one hand, the price of upstream butadiene has fallen, dragging down the synthetic rubber market, on the other hand, the downstream market of rubber has been weak, forming a negative atmosphere for cis-butadiene rubber as a whole. Later, the market of cis-butadiene rubber will continue to be in a weak position.

On April 1, the phthalic anhydride commodity index was 64.88, down 0.81 points from yesterday, down 45.99% from the peak of 120.13 points in the cycle (2012-02-28), up 33.99% from the low of 48.42 points on January 21, 2016. (Note: Period refers to 2011-09-01 to date).

Recent domestic market price trend of phthalic anhydride has maintained a weak position, the market of phthalic anhydride and phthalic anhydride in eastern China has consolidated weakly, downstream factories have just needed to purchase, factory inventory pressure has continued, high-end transactions have been blocked, the mainstream of on-site neighbouring source negotiations is 6500-6700 yuan/ton, and the mainstream of naphthalene source negotiations is 6400 yuan/ton; the mainstream quotation of phthalic anhydride market in North China is 6500-6700 yuan/ton, and the Main, the quotation trend of enterprises has slightly declined, downstream construction is not high, on-demand procurement is the main, wait-and-see mentality is strong, domestic phthalic anhydride plant operation is stable, phthalic anhydride spot supply is normal, the market is not good, phthalic anhydride prices remain low.

Recently, the executive price of the upstream product of phthalic anhydride, Sinopec o-phthalic anhydride, is 6800 yuan/ton. The actual market transaction price is 7100 yuan/ton. The quotation is stable and the port is out of stock. The upstream raw material mixed xylene price is stable, the turnover of phthalic anhydride is general, the stock of phthalic anhydride in port is low, the price of phthalic anhydride is temporarily stable, the cost of imported phthalic anhydride is rising, the actual transaction price is discussed in detail, the upstream price trend is stable, and the market price of phthalic anhydride remains weak. DOP prices in the downstream are lower. Recently, in the DOP market in Zhejiang, the quotation of merchants has dropped to 8300-8400 yuan/ton, and the downstream price has slightly decreased. The demand for phthalic anhydride in the upstream is limited. The market price of phthalic anhydride has slightly decreased. It is expected that the market price of phthalic anhydride in the later period will be around 6600 yuan/ton.

Price Trend

According to the monitoring data of business associations, the domestic acetic acid market first restrained and then rose in March, and then stabilized. At the beginning of the month, the average price of acetic acid in eastern China was about 326 yuan/ton, and at the end of the month it fell to about 3000 yuan/ton, a decline of 6.74%. At present, the quotation in Henan is about 2800/ton; in Shandong is about 2900-3050 yuan/ton; in Hebei is about 2950-3000 yuan/ton; in Shaanxi is about 2580 yuan/ton; in Jiangsu is about 2950-3050 yuan/ton; in Zhejiang is about 3150-3200 yuan/ton; in South China, the quotation is about 3100-3150 yuan/ton, which is 43.45% lower than that in the same period last year.

II. Cause Analysis

Products: The domestic acetic acid market continued to weaken in March due to the downstream demand and adverse effects of exports. Towards the end of the month, the price of acetic acid has warmed up due to the heavy burden of enterprise overhaul, but the overall price is still weak. In terms of start-up, Tianjin Bohua 350,000 tons/year plant stops twice within a month and will be restored at present; Yankuang Cathay Tai 1.2 million tons/year plant goes down within a month, with a daily output of about 2,400 tons/year; Jiangsu Sopu 1.4 million tons/year plant stops short within a month; Nanjing BP 500,000 tons/year plant is scheduled to be overhauled in mid-March and is scheduled to be overhauled by the end of April; Hebei Jiantao 500,000 tons/year plant is scheduled to be overhauled by the end of month. About 20 days; 1.2 million tons per year in Celanese, Nanjing, semi-negative operation; the overall start-up rate in the month is about 80%.

Industry chain: Upstream, the domestic methanol market was affected by the explosion of Jiangsu chemical plant, which rose first and then fell within a month, with an overall decline of 2.71%. At present, the average price is about 2372 yuan/ton; downstream acetate industry has different performances, among which butyl acetate is affected by supply and its price has risen sharply, while other industries are mostly in a weak position. Affected by the Yancheng accident, Jiangsu Province, the overall start of construction has declined, PTA market has declined. Overall, construction started in about 85% of the month, and some enterprises have delayed maintenance, just need to be stable.

International: At present, the North American acetic acid market is stable, and the future market needs to pay attention to methanol dynamics, which is about 575 US dollars/ton; the Asian acetic acid market is affected by overhaul, the market supply has declined, but the demand side performance is not good, the overall stability is relatively stable, the quotation is 405-455 US dollars/ton; the European acetic acid market as a whole is stable in supply and demand, currently around 695 Euro/ton.

3. Future Market Forecast

At present, the price of acetic acid in North China is stable, the enterprise overhaul is concentrated and the stock is low, the spot supply is tight, and the quotation is firm; some enterprises in East China have reduced their losses, but the on-site trading is still weak; the talks in South China are general and the buying is flat; the enterprises in Henan are stable according to the low inventory; the future market needs to pay attention to the impact of Jiangsu chemical plant incident on the downstream industry. Acetic acid analysts from business associations predict that the acetic acid market will be mainly stable in the near future.

On March 27, the ammonium nitrate commodity index was 107.02, which was the same as yesterday. It was 9.63% lower than the cyclical peak of 118.42 points (2019-01-15), and 38.32% higher than the lowest point of 77.37 on October 31, 2016. (Note: Period refers to 2013-02-01 to date)

Recently, the price trend of domestic ammonium nitrate Market has maintained a low level. Affected by environmental protection control, domestic ammonium nitrate plants shut down more, and domestic ammonium nitrate plants started less. However, with the warming of the weather recently, the influence of northern air limitation disappeared. In addition, due to the complete shutdown of domestic downstream civil explosion industry, domestic ammonium nitrate manufacturers have more stockpiles and the price trend in the field has declined. As of the 28th day, the domestic ammonium nitrate market price negotiations in 1900-2100 yuan/ton, affected by environmental protection, so now many manufacturers in many areas are forced to limit production or stop production and maintenance to accept environmental protection inspection, the price trend of ammonium nitrate on the site is weak.

Recently, the domestic nitric acid price trend is temporarily stable, the market price is 1560 yuan/ton on the 28th day. The stable trend of nitric acid price has little effect on the ammonium nitrate market, and the price trend of ammonium nitrate has slightly declined. The price trend of upstream raw material liquid ammonia has risen slightly, and the market price of liquid ammonia is 3460 yuan/ton on the 28th day. The rising trend of upstream raw material price has a certain positive impact on the ammonium nitrate market. Ammonium nitrate market price trend slightly lower. At the end of the peak season of the downstream civil explosion industry recently, the demand for ammonium nitrate has weakened and the stocks of ammonium nitrate manufacturers have increased, but the liquid ammonia market is on the rise again. The ammonium nitrate Market has slightly declined due to the bad market. Ammonium nitrate analysts believe that the price of raw materials in the upstream market has risen slightly in the near future, but the demand in the downstream is not good, and the market price of ammonium nitrate in the later period is expected to be shocked.