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Weak supply and demand, cost support, June, DOP prices fluctuated and consolidated

The price of plasticizer DOP fluctuated and consolidated in June

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According to the Commodity Market Analysis System of Shengyi Society, as of June 30th, the DOP price was 8259.17 yuan/ton, fluctuating and consolidating compared to the June 1st DOP price of 8250.83 yuan/ton, with an increase of 0.10%. In June, DOP production decreased, and the operating rate of the plasticizer industry dropped below 60%. DOP prices remained stable at a high level, resulting in a decrease in plasticizer production. The price of raw material isooctanol fluctuated and stabilized, while phthalic anhydride prices fluctuated and fell. The cost support for plasticizers decreased, and plasticizer prices fluctuated and stabilized.
The price of raw material isooctanol fluctuated and consolidated in June
According to the Commodity Market Analysis System of Shengyi Society, as of June 30th, the price of isooctanol was 7550 yuan/ton, which has stabilized compared to the price of 7550 yuan/ton on June 1st. In June, the price of isooctanol fluctuated and consolidated. There were many inspections of isooctanol enterprises in June, resulting in a decrease in the operating rate of isooctanol equipment, a reduction in isooctanol production, and a decrease in isooctanol supply. The support for the rise of isooctanol still exists, and the price of isooctanol fluctuated and consolidated.
The price of raw material phthalic anhydride fluctuated and fell in June
According to the Commodity Market Analysis System of Shengyi Society, as of June 30th, the price of phthalic anhydride in neighboring countries was 6883.33 yuan/ton, which fluctuated and fell by 0.96% compared to the price of phthalic anhydride at 6950 yuan/ton on June 1st. In June, the price of phthalic anhydride first fell and then rose, and the price of industrial naphthalene fluctuated and fell. The cost support for phthalic anhydride weakened. In June, phthalic anhydride equipment was briefly overhauled, and the operating rate of phthalic anhydride enterprises decreased to about 6.50%. The supply of phthalic anhydride decreased, and the downstream plasticizer market fluctuated and consolidated. The operating load of equipment for plasticizer enterprises decreased significantly, and the demand support for phthalic anhydride weakened. Due to sufficient supply and weak demand, the price of phthalic anhydride fluctuated and fell in June.
Future expectations
According to the data analyst of Shengyi Society’s plasticizer products, in terms of cost, the price of isooctanol has fluctuated and stabilized, while the price of phthalic anhydride has fluctuated and fallen, and the cost support of plasticizer DOP has decreased; On the supply side, plasticizer enterprises have seen a decrease in production, a reduction in plasticizer output, and a decrease in plasticizer supply. In the future, with weak supply and demand coupled with cost support, it is expected that the price of plasticizer DOP will fluctuate and stabilize.

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The domestic bisphenol A market is weak and difficult to change

The domestic bisphenol A market first rose and then fell, with price fluctuations in the East China region ranging from 8350-8500 yuan/ton.

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At the beginning of the week, the bisphenol A market fluctuated and rose, with no inventory pressure on production enterprises in East China. However, the good times did not last long, the market fundamentals weakened, cost support was insufficient, downstream resin and PC replenishment enthusiasm decreased, inquiries became weak, and the pressure on traders to ship increased. In addition, Shandong’s 180000 tons/year sales officially started mid week, with an increase in supply and a clear bearish atmosphere on site. The focus of negotiations is mainly on a bearish trend.
The downstream epoxy resin market is running lightly, the market lacks information guidance, the factory listing price remains stable, the downstream just needs to follow up, and the turnover is very little. The mainstream negotiations of East China liquid resin and Mount Huangshan solid resin are both 13200-13600 yuan/ton, the spot market is weak, and the short-term confidence of the industry is obviously insufficient.
The supply side is expected to increase, the demand side is lukewarm, and the cost side phenol ketone market is also showing a continued downward trend. From the perspective of Business Society, the focus of the bisphenol A market is expected to continue to decline.

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Short term cost support: Nylon filament prices stop falling and rise again in June

In June 2025, the market price of nylon filament stopped falling and rebounded. The supply pressure of nylon filament is still relatively high, and the overall demand is weak. Multi dimensional rigid demand procurement is held, and actual transactions are limited. In the absence of favorable supply and demand conditions, the price of nylon filament first fell and then rose under the short-term support of costs, but the price is still at a low level.

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Nylon filament prices stop falling and rise again
According to the Commodity Market Analysis System of Shengyi Society, the monthly average price of nylon filament will stop falling and rise again in June 2025. As of June 30, 2025, DTY (premium product) of nylon filament in Jiangsu region; 70D/24F) quoted 14860 yuan/ton, an increase of 100 yuan/ton from the previous month, with a monthly increase of 0.68%; Nylon POY (premium product; 86D/24F) quoted a price of 12525 yuan/ton, an increase of 225 yuan/ton from the previous month, with a monthly increase of 1.83%; The price of nylon FDY (premium product: 40D/12F) is reported at 15450 yuan/ton, an increase of 50 yuan/ton from the previous month, with a monthly increase of 0.32%.
Short term support for raw material storage
In terms of cost: In June 2025, the spot market price of caprolactam was relatively strong, and the settlement price of Sinopec’s high-end caprolactam in June was 9720 yuan, an increase of 250 yuan/ton compared to the settlement price in May. The market price of nylon PA6 high-speed spinning low viscosity semi gloss shows a trend of “falling rising falling”. As of June 27, 2025, the benchmark price of caprolactam in Shengyi Society was 9423 yuan/ton, with a strong upward trend and a monthly increase of 2.54%. During the month, the market price of high-speed spun nylon PA6 slices slightly increased, with a monthly increase of 2.51%, mainly due to strong cost support.
High supply pressure and weak demand
The production of nylon increased month on month, and coupled with poor transactions, the inventory pressure of nylon factories has not decreased. Downstream orders continue to be low, fabric inventory levels are high, coupled with low profits, slow payment collection, and tight funds, resulting in low enthusiasm for weaving enterprises to start production, only maintaining essential production, and poor shipments from nylon factories.
Future forecast
In July, the cost performance of the nylon industry chain was bearish, with weakened support for the cost of raw material caprolactam, and slow digestion of downstream nylon PA6 social inventory. Therefore, caution was exercised in the purchase of caprolactam, and there was no positive news for both upstream and downstream. Prices may decline, and costs may be transmitted downwards. The price of the nylon industry chain may show a downward trend.
On the supply side, some manufacturers have plans to start production next month, and some may increase production. In addition, demand may be weak, so it is expected that the inventory pressure of nylon factories will not be alleviated. On the demand side, downstream weaving enterprises are in the off-season for domestic sales orders production; Overall, it is expected that the cost side will be relatively low, supply pressure will be high, and downstream weaving enterprises will maintain rigid demand production. Demand will still be weak. Overall, the positive news is insufficient, and analysts from Shengyi Society predict that nylon prices may be under pressure and decline next month.

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On June 25th, the price of acetic acid remained stable with small fluctuations

According to the Commodity Market Analysis System of Shengyi Society, the price of acetic acid in East China remained stable on June 25th, with a market average price of 2573.33 yuan/ton, unchanged from yesterday’s price and a decrease of 4.69% compared to the beginning of the month. The domestic acetic acid market is stable with small fluctuations, with stable prices in East China and an increase in market prices in South China. The acetic acid plant on the supply side is running smoothly, with a high capacity utilization rate. Downstream demand sentiment is mixed, and companies mainly ship according to demand. The market mentality is wait-and-see, and the price of acetic acid is running steadily.
The price of upstream raw material methanol has fallen. On June 25th, the average price in the domestic market was 2646.67 yuan/ton, a decrease of 0.38% compared to yesterday’s price of 2656.67 yuan/ton. The downstream of methanol has a general acceptance of high prices, and the mentality of industry players is poor. Methanol prices continue to decline, while external prices have fallen, suppressing spot prices and causing a weak downward trend in the methanol market.
Market forecast: Business Society’s acetic acid analyst believes that the domestic acetic acid production capacity utilization rate is relatively high, and enterprises maintain active shipment as the main factor. Downstream companies follow up as needed, and the trading atmosphere on the market is still acceptable. The market supply and demand game is expected, and the acetic acid market is expected to operate in a wait-and-see manner. The future market will pay attention to downstream follow-up.

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Supply is tight, and the market price of xylene is rising

According to the Commodity Market Analysis System of Shengyi Society, the mixed xylene market has shown an overall upward trend this week. From June 16 to June 23, 2025, the price of mixed xylene has increased from 6030 yuan/ton to 6310 yuan/ton, an increase of 4.64%. This cycle, markets in various regions have been on the rise. From the perspective of Shandong region, there have been more pre-sales this week. The supply in the region is tight, and downstream oil and chemical industries are actively entering the market for inquiries. Local refineries have good inquiries, and market prices have been on the rise. The increase in quotes from major refineries in South China this week has boosted the atmosphere of the spot market, while the rise in crude oil prices has boosted market sentiment, resulting in a slight increase in market prices during the week. The overall inventory of ports in East China has declined, and spot market prices have slightly increased.

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On the cost side, the overall crude oil market price closed higher, with the settlement price of the July WTI crude oil futures contract in the United States at $74.93 per barrel as of June 20th. The settlement price of Brent crude oil futures for August contract is $77.01 per barrel. On the one hand, the escalating tensions in the Middle East have led to a tight supply of crude oil and a significant rise in the international oil market; On the other hand, the trade negotiations between China and the United States have made good progress, and coupled with the unexpected decline in US crude oil inventories, favorable factors have supported the international oil market, with the crude oil market mainly rising.
Supply side:
Sinopec’s xylene quotation summary shows that the company is currently operating normally, with stable production and sales. The company’s quotation remains unchanged from the previous day. As of June 23rd, East China Company quoted 6300 yuan/ton, North China Company quoted 6000-6200 yuan/ton, South China Company quoted 6300-6450 yuan/ton, and Central China Company quoted 6400-6500 yuan/ton.
Demand side:
On June 23rd, Sinopec Sales Company temporarily stabilized the price of xylene, with the current execution price of 7000 yuan/ton. This price is implemented in East China, North China, Central China, and South China. Yangzi Petrochemical, Zhenhai Petrochemical and other units are operating stably and sales are normal. Compared to June 16th, it remains unchanged. As of June 20th, the closing prices of the xylene market in Asia were 873-875 US dollars/ton FOB Korea and 898-900 US dollars/ton CFR China, an increase of 44 US dollars/ton from June 13th.
Market forecast: The overall macro trend is relatively strong in the near future, with a significant increase in crude oil prices and an overall strengthening of fundamentals. From the perspective of supply and demand, there have been many pre-sales in Shandong recently, and port inventory is also low, resulting in an overall tight supply situation. From the demand side, downstream procurement intentions tend to be more rigid. Under the influence of tight supply and macroeconomic improvement, it is expected that the xylene market will continue to maintain a stable, moderate, and strong trend in the short term.

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Bromine prices are consolidating this week (6.16-6.20)

1、 Price trend

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According to the Commodity Market Analysis System of Shengyi Society, the price of bromine has been consolidating this week. The average market price at the beginning of the week was 25000 yuan/ton, and the average market price over the weekend was 25100 yuan/ton, with a price increase of 0.4%, which is 6.81% higher than the same period last year. On June 19th, the Business Society Bromine Index was 88.07, unchanged from yesterday, a decrease of 64.08% from the highest point of 245.18 points (2021-10-27) during the cycle, and an increase of 49.47% from the lowest point of 58.92 points on October 29, 2014. (Note: The cycle refers to the period from September 1, 2011 to present)
2、 Market analysis
This week, the price of bromine has remained stable, with a reference price of 25000-26500 yuan/ton for spot bromine production in Shandong region. The temperature has risen this week, and domestic bromine enterprises have started working steadily. Most manufacturers focus on stabilizing prices, while downstream enterprises prioritize urgent needs. In terms of raw materials, domestic sulfur prices have been rising, with an average market price of 2257.67 yuan/ton at the beginning of the week and 2327.67 yuan/ton at the end of the week. The price has increased by 3.1%, which is 104.78% higher than the same period last year. Downstream demand is still acceptable.
Prediction: Bromine prices are expected to remain stable in the near future, while upstream sulfur prices are expected to remain stable. Bromine prices are expected to remain stable this week, while downstream purchases will be made as needed. Bromine enterprises focus on stabilizing prices. It is expected that bromine will continue to consolidate and operate in the later period, depending on downstream market demand.

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Narrow consolidation of domestic phosphate market (6.11-6.17)

1、 Price trend
According to the Commodity Market Analysis System of Shengyi Society, as of June 17th, the reference average price of 85% industrial grade thermal phosphoric acid in China was 6710 yuan/ton, which is 0.74% lower than the reference average price of 6760 yuan/ton on June 11th.
2、 Market analysis
Market Aspects
This week, there was a slight adjustment in the domestic phosphoric acid market price. As of June 17th, the ex factory price of 85% thermal phosphoric acid in Hubei region is around 6450-6900 yuan/ton, in Yunnan region it is around 6500 yuan/ton, and in Sichuan region it is around 6400-6800 yuan/ton. The domestic market price for 85% wet process phosphoric acid is around 6550-7300 yuan/ton.
In terms of cost
In terms of raw material yellow phosphorus. The market price of raw material yellow phosphorus has risen this week. This week, some yellow phosphorus plants have restarted, leading to an increase in market supply. Downstream replenishment is gradually increasing, leading to an increase in procurement demand and a rise in the transaction price of yellow phosphorus in the market.
3、 Future forecast
The phosphate analyst from Shengyi Society believes that the phosphate market has been operating in a narrow range recently. The bearish sentiment in the raw material yellow phosphorus market remains, with weak demand in the phosphoric acid market and limited new orders in the market. It is expected that in the short term, the domestic phosphoric acid market prices will experience slight fluctuations and consolidation.

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This week, the market price of pure benzene has risen significantly (6.9-6.13)

1、 Price trend

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According to the Commodity Market Analysis System of Shengyi Society, the market price of pure benzene has risen significantly this week. On Monday, the price of pure benzene was 5955.33 yuan/ton, and on Friday, it was 6452 yuan/ton, with a price increase of 8.34% during the week.
2、 Market analysis
Pure benzene: The market price of pure benzene has risen significantly this week. Due to the escalating tensions in the Middle East this week, oil prices have risen to a two month high, with pure benzene catching up significantly. Today, the price of pure benzene has risen by around 250-350 yuan/ton, and has been steadily rising since the opening. Large investors are cautious, and the overall trading atmosphere is good.
This week, Sinopec’s price has increased by 450 yuan/ton to 6300 yuan/ton.
Downstream aspects
3、 Future forecast
Crude oil futures: On June 12th, international crude oil futures closed down. The settlement price of the July WTI crude oil futures contract in the United States was $68.04 per barrel, a decrease of $0.11 or 0.2%. The settlement price of Brent crude oil futures for August was $69.06 per barrel, a decrease of $0.41 or 0.6%.
Pure benzene overseas: FOB Korea rose $8 to $733/ton, CFR China rose $7 to $750/ton. FOB Rotterdam stable price of $710/ton, FOB US Gulf stable price of $265/gallon.
Overall forecast: In the short term, the pure benzene market is expected to strengthen and consolidate, with a wait-and-see attitude towards cost and demand news. Continue to monitor the trends of crude oil and external markets, as well as the impact of changes in pure benzene and downstream equipment dynamics and demand on the price of pure benzene.

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Cost driven increase in aniline prices

1、 Price trend

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According to the Commodity Market Analysis System of Shengyi Society, the price of aniline has stopped falling and increased this week. On June 9th, the market price of aniline was 225 yuan/ton, and on June 13th it was 7325 yuan/ton, with a 1.38% increase during the period and a 39.8% decrease compared to the same period last year.
2、 Analysis and Review
This week, the aniline market in Shandong has been boosted by costs, with prices rising significantly and positively. During the week, crude oil rose strongly, driving the price of pure benzene to strengthen. Aniline’s low-priced delivery is smooth, with little inventory pressure. Driven by costs, the price of aniline has risen. Downstream demand is the main demand, and the buying potential is still acceptable.
Cost aspect: This week, pure benzene was driven by oil prices, with a strong upward trend in price. The average price at the beginning of the week was 5955 yuan/ton, and the average price over the weekend was 6170 yuan/ton, with a 3.55% increase during the cycle.
3、 Future expectations
The current trading atmosphere for aniline is still good. With the sharp rise in crude oil prices on Friday and the boost from the cost side, it is expected that the aniline market will operate strongly in the short term.

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The ethanol market maintains stability

According to the Commodity Market Analysis System of Shengyi Society, from June 2nd to 6th, the domestic ethanol price rose to 5447 yuan/ton, with a month on month increase of 3.49% and a year-on-year decrease of 9.51%. Domestic ethanol market prices remain stable and organized. Most regions have stable quotes from enterprises, with a focus on first-time transactions.

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In terms of cost, the market corn prices continue to operate steadily. There has been no significant change in the quotations of port traders, and the new season wheat continues to be listed. Enterprises are paying more attention to the price of wheat, and wheat and corn are basically priced the same in some feed factories. The substitution advantage of wheat is significant. The cost of ethanol is influenced by bearish factors.
There are unlikely to be significant favorable factors in the supply of ethanol.
On the demand side, from the demand side, the demand for Baijiu fluctuates little, and the downstream stock of chemical industry needs to be replenished. The short-term demand for ethanol has a moderate impact.
In the future forecast, the market supply will increase due to the recovery of Hongzhan Jixian equipment, and the supply of fermented ethanol will increase, while the demand will basically maintain basic demand. Business Society’s ethanol analyst predicts that the domestic ethanol market will consolidate and operate in the short term.

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