Trade name: hydrochloric acid

Latest price (September 16): 282.50 yuan / ton

On September 16, the mixed price of hydrochloric acid in Shandong Province fell, which was in line with the quotation on September 14. The upstream liquid chlorine market is generally in general, which gives weak support to hydrochloric acid, while the market of silica and ammonium chloride in the downstream is high consolidation, which brings certain support to the price of hydrochloric acid. At the same time, the maintenance of enterprises has increased recently, the supply of hydrochloric acid is relatively tight, and the downstream purchasing enthusiasm is good. The by-product acid still impacts the market, and the pressure of hydrochloric acid shipment is greater.

Recently, the market price of hydrochloric acid in Shandong area may fluctuate slightly, and the quotation is about 280 yuan / ton.

1、 Price trend

According to the data of the business club, the domestic toluene market rose steadily this week. As of Friday, the domestic average price was about 3450 yuan / ton, up 2.37% month on month.

2、 Analysis and comment

Toluene prices rose steadily this week. Sinopec’s enterprises listed toluene price stable this week. Port inventory continues to fall, but it is still high, and there is still pressure to go to the warehouse. The market supply is still surplus, but the demand for blended oil and solvent in the downstream shows signs of improvement, the demand for toluene is slightly improved, the market trading atmosphere is slightly improved, and the overall supply and demand situation tends to be balanced. At present, the mainstream price in East China is about 3450 yuan / ton. Worries about the reduction of crude oil demand caused by the new coronavirus epidemic and the impact of geopolitical tightening on economic recovery worries, the future market continued to pay attention to the fluctuation of US dollar index and stock market, the influence of geopolitical situation in the Middle East on crude oil supply, the development progress of new coronavirus vaccine and the continuous spread of overseas epidemic situation, the impact of economic restart recovery on crude oil demand, as well as the situation of global economic recovery and Europe us push The progress of the economic recovery rescue plan.

Upstream, crude oil novel coronavirus pneumonia is facing a severe global epidemic situation, exacerbating the energy demand outlook. In addition, U.S. crude oil inventories rose unexpectedly, traders began to re order oil tankers to store crude oil and diesel oil, Saudi Arabia cut prices sharply, and the situation of global oversupply will continue. As of Friday, spot Brent fell $2.165/barrel to close at $39.045/barrel, down 5.25% from last week. Analysts and traders are short on the outlook for next week’s crude oil, according to fx168′s weekly financial market survey released on Saturday (September 12). Next week will focus on the OPEC + market surveillance group meeting to be held on September 17.

Downstream, TDI, this week continued to rise, market prices continue to rise. Market news: in September, the listing price of Wanhua chemical increased by 2000 yuan / ton to 19000 yuan / ton, and the listing settlement price this week was 18500 yuan / ton. It is expected that the short-term TDI market will maintain an upward trend. In terms of PX market, Sinopec’s listed price this week is about 4600 yuan / ton, and the latest price of external disk is about 528 US dollars / ton FOB Korea and 546 US dollars / ton CFR China. It is expected that the short-term PX market will continue to decline slightly.

3、 Future forecast

According to toluene analyst of chemical branch of business agency: first look at the supply cost side, the total number of us oil drilling wells, EIA and API inventory data, and the implementation of OPEC + production reduction. Second, on the demand side, the impact of the continuous spread of the global second epidemic on the economic restart of crude oil demand, the progress of industrial chain recovery, the geopolitical situation of the Middle East and China and the United States, and the economic and trade situation of Europe and the United States. Third, look at the dollar index and stock market linkage. Next week, we will focus on the fluctuation of US dollar index and stock market, and the impact of Sino US economic and trade situation on the trend of crude oil. Overall, it is expected that the domestic market toluene price will usher in an adjustment trend next week.

According to statistics, the price of domestic ammonium nitrate rose this week. As of the end of the week, the domestic market price of ammonium nitrate was 2400 yuan / ton, which was 2.56% higher than the price of 2340 yuan / ton at the beginning of the week, with a year-on-year increase of 21.01%. On September 11, the commodity index of ammonium nitrate was 126.32, which was the same as yesterday, reaching a record high in the cycle, up 63.27% from the lowest point of 77.37 on October 31, 2016. (Note: period refers to 2013-02-01 to now).

This week, the price trend of domestic ammonium nitrate market rose. The start-up of domestic ammonium nitrate manufacturers declined, and the supply of ammonium nitrate in the field was tight. Some manufacturers reported that the situation of goods taking was improved, and the price trend of manufacturers increased slightly. Recently, the supply of on-site goods was tight, the transportation was normal, and the market price of ammonium nitrate went up. Recently, the shipment market of ammonium nitrate manufacturers is normal, downstream procurement is on demand. Domestic ammonium nitrate manufacturers have started to decline, and some manufacturers have increased their prices. Up to now, the mainstream negotiation in Shaanxi is 2300-2500 yuan / ton, that in Shandong is 2100-2200 yuan / ton, and that in Hebei is 2600-2800 yuan / ton.

This week, the price trend of domestic concentrated nitric acid was temporarily stable, with the weekend price of 1500 yuan / ton, Jiangsu Hongze Yinzhu chemical industry quoted 1500 yuan / ton, Anhui Jinhe quoted 1400 yuan / ton, Shandong helitai quoted 1750 yuan / ton. Anhui Aodeli quoted 1450 yuan / ton; Wenshui County synthetic chemical industry quoted 1580 yuan / ton. In recent years, the domestic maintenance units have been running normally, the supply of concentrated nitric acid market is normal, and the situation of on-site goods taking is general. The price trend of nitric acid in the field remains low. The low price of nitric acid is the negative effect of ammonium nitrate Market, and the price increase of ammonium nitrate Market is limited.

The price trend of upstream liquid ammonia rose slightly this week, and the price trend of liquid ammonia rose 0.21% this week. The start-up of liquid ammonia plant was normal, the spot supply was normal, and the market price of liquid ammonia rose slightly. However, due to the impact of inventory pressure, the liquid ammonia plants in Shandong are stable, and the price of liquid ammonia has returned to stable. It is expected that the domestic liquid ammonia market will not change much in the near future, and the trend of various regions will be differentiated to some extent, which may lead to partial imbalance of supply due to the maintenance of some units in the short term. On the demand side, the downstream procurement may slow down in the later stage, resulting in some pressure in the later stage of liquid ammonia supply. Domestic liquid ammonia supply pressure still exists, especially the regional imbalance, which leads to greater supply pressure in some regions. In terms of demand, the peak season of downstream fertilizer demand is no longer, the upstream liquid ammonia market price rises slightly, and the market price trend of ammonium nitrate rises slightly.

In recent years, the demand of the downstream civil explosive industry is limited, and the production and sales of nitro compound fertilizer are in general, and the price trend of raw material market remains low. However, the spot supply of ammonium nitrate is tight, which has a certain positive support for the ammonium nitrate Market. The ammonium nitrate analysts of the business community believe that the market price of ammonium nitrate may rise slightly in the future.

1、 Price trend

According to the business club’s big list data, the price of pure benzene in Shandong continued to rise this week. On August 30, the listed price of pure benzene was 3020-3450 yuan / ton (the average price was 3390 yuan / ton); this Sunday (September 6), the listed price of pure benzene was 3170-3450 yuan / ton (average price was 3410 yuan / ton), the average price was 0.59% higher than last week.

2、 Analysis and comment

This week, due to the completion of maintenance of some downstream units in Shandong Province, the purchase enthusiasm for pure benzene increased, and the price of styrene rose, which led to the continuous pursuit of pure benzene. This week, pure benzene port inventory increased slightly, inventory pressure restricts the price rise.

On the external side, the external market rose slightly this week. On Friday (August 4), South Korea imported 435 US dollars / ton of pure benzene, an increase of 7.67 US dollars / ton, or 1.79% compared with August 28; and that of East China was 444 US dollars / ton, an increase of 6.5 US dollars / ton, or 1.49% compared with August 28.

In terms of crude oil, this week’s news of crude oil was negative, oil and gas production in the Gulf of Mexico recovered, and prices fell rapidly. Compared with August 28, Brent fell $3.665 per barrel, or 8.17%, while WTI fell $3.14 per barrel, or 7.25%. Compared with December 31, 2019, Brent decreased by 38.28%, and WTI decreased by 33.93%.

Downstream: on September 4, the price of styrene in Shandong was 5366.67 yuan / ton, up 66.67 yuan / ton or 1.26% over last week.

Aniline increased by the cost side, and enterprise inventory is not high. On September 4, the price of aniline in Shandong was 4350-4480 yuan / ton, and that in Nanjing was 4500-4700 yuan / ton.

3、 Future forecast

In terms of crude oil, the oil price fell back to the level before the hurricane, and there was little room for further downward movement, with the main range fluctuation expected.

According to the monitoring of business agency, the price of activated carbon was 10666 yuan / ton at the beginning of this week, and 10600 yuan / ton at the end of this week, with the price falling by 0.63%.

At present, the price of activated carbon in China has dropped slightly. At present, the ex factory price of activated carbon for coconut shell water purification in East China is about 7000-12000 yuan / T; the downstream demand for activated carbon in China is poor, and the price is going down, and the trading atmosphere is still weak. Most of the deliveries are made according to the order, and the atmosphere of cautious wait-and-see remains unchanged.

The cost pressure of coconut shell, fruit shell, charcoal and other main raw materials in the upstream of activated carbon is supported, and the demand is fair; the cost support of coal based carbon raw material is weak. The downstream power, medicine and other demand industries collect goods according to the order. The purchase market of activated carbon for air purification and water purification is favorable. The environmental protection policies boost the activated carbon market, and the activated carbon market is stable.

Forecast: the activated carbon market will move goods on demand, purchase basic small orders to meet normal production, most traders maintain shipment and reduce warehouse, and the quotation will continue to fluctuate and tend to fall.

1、 Price trend

As of August 31, the average price of refrigerant R22 was 16333.33 yuan / ton, up 1.03% compared with the beginning of the month, 2% lower than the same period last year, and the maximum amplitude of this month was 3.09%

As of August 31, the average price of refrigerant R134a was 16066.67 yuan / ton, down 6.94% from the beginning of the month and 41.22% compared with the same period last year, according to the monitoring of bulk data of the business agency. The maximum amplitude of this month is 6.95%

2、 Market analysis

In August, the situation of refrigerants was difficult. Due to the continuous weak demand and shortage of raw materials, the price of refrigerants went down and the focus was low. This month, the air conditioning industry began to enter the off-season, the production of production enterprises decreased sharply, the demand for refrigerants was scarce, and the turnover was weak. At the same time, there was a lot of rain in this month, and the after-sales market showed a general performance with poor demand. Moreover, the export recovery was slow, and the export orders decreased year on year, so the demand side was difficult to boost the market. The market price of fluorite and anhydrous hydrofluoric acid at the raw material end declined, and the chloroform market was running strongly, which weakened the support for refrigerants. On the whole, the cost side and demand side of refrigerant are weak, the start-up of refrigerant manufacturers is not high, and the price is likely to continue to fall.

R22, the price of refrigerant R22 rose first and then fell in August, with a slight increase of 1.03% in the whole month. The cost side of chloroform industry support is OK, but the demand follow-up is not enough, the demand side air conditioning and after-sales market performance is poor. Although R22 has good quota support and manufacturers support the price, but the shipment is under pressure, and the enterprise price has fallen. After the middle of this month, R22 has a steady downward trend, and some enterprises’ prices are still running stably. However, most of the actual transactions yield profits, and the trading center begins to move downward. As of August 31, the prices of mainstream manufacturers in R22 market were 15500-16500 yuan / ton, and the transaction price was about 15000-15500 yuan / ton.

R134a, the price of refrigerant R134a fell to the bottom in August, with a sharp drop of 6.95% in the whole month. On the cost side, hydrofluoric acid support is weakened, and the peak stock season of automobile industry has passed. The purchase of refrigerants has been sharply reduced. There are few new orders, and the export recovery is slow. Enterprises are under pressure to ship. Prices have dropped sharply. Some of them have the phenomenon of cost inversion. At the same time, there are plans for new production capacity to enter the market. At that time, the contradiction between supply and demand will intensify, and the focus of R134a will continue to move down. According to the price monitoring of the business agency, as of August 25, the price of the mainstream manufacturers in the refrigerant R134a market is about 15000 yuan / ton, and the actual transaction price is about 14500-15000 yuan / ton, and the price is down.

Enterprise products up and down from August 31 to August 1

Zhejiang Juhua R22 16000 yuan / ton 15500 yuan / ton – 500 yuan

Zhejiang Juhua R134a 14700 yuan / ton 15000 yuan / ton – 300 yuan

Shandong Dongyue R22 16500 yuan / ton 16500 yuan / ton

Shandong Dongyue R134a 15000 yuan / ton 17000 yuan / ton – 2000 yuan

Jiuzhou chemical R22 15500 yuan / ton 15800 yuan / ton – 300 yuan

Jiuzhou chemical R134a 15500 yuan / ton 16500 yuan / ton – 1000 yuan

Longxun trade R22 15000 yuan / ton 15500 yuan / ton – 500 yuan

Longxun trade R134a 15500 yuan / ton 15500 yuan / ton

Daily BOLUO R22 16000 yuan / ton 16000 yuan / ton

Daily Polo R134a 16000 yuan / ton 16000 yuan / ton

Shanghai lengqi R22 15500-16000 yuan / ton 15500-16000 yuan / ton

Blue planet R134a 18000 yuan / ton 18000 yuan / ton

The price trend of fluorite in the upstream and domestic fluorite market fluctuated. Recently, some manufacturers reported that the goods were not in good condition, the downstream demand was not improved, and the fluorite price changed little. Domestic fluorite manufacturers have been operating stably, the on-site mines and flotation devices have been operating normally, and the fluorite in the yard is not well stocked, and the market price of fluorite is slightly lower. The market price of fluorite may decrease slightly in the short term.

As for hydrofluoric acid, on August 31, the mainstream price of domestic anhydrous hydrofluoric acid manufacturers was 8000-8500 yuan / T, and the ex factory price of domestic manufacturers dropped slightly. The domestic hydrofluoric acid manufacturers had a general operating rate, and the supply of goods on site was normal. Affected by the decline of fluorite price, however, the demand of downstream refrigerant industry was not good, and the on-site procurement was mainly based on demand, and the on-site price was expected to decline in the future.

Trichloromethane: at present, the market of chloroform in Shandong Province is at a high level, and the overall operation of enterprises has reached a high level, and the market supply is expected to continue to increase. Due to the high price and flat demand in the downstream market, there is a strong wait-and-see atmosphere in the industry, and some of the shippers have a certain bearish mentality. At present, the quoted price of Shandong is about 1880-1910 yuan / ton, Jiangxi Liwen is about 2300 yuan / ton, and Jiangsu is about 2650 yuan / ton. It is expected to maintain stable operation in a short period of time, and it is necessary to pay attention to the inventory situation of enterprises.

3、 Future forecast

According to the refrigerant analysts of the business agency, the demand in August was poor and the refrigerant market was dismal. R22 was supported by quota, but the actual transaction atmosphere was not good, and the price was expected to fluctuate slightly. However, the inventory of R134a was on the high side, and new capacity was put into the market, and the price was expected to continue to decline. On the whole, it is difficult for the market of refrigerants to improve significantly. As September is about to enter, it is hard to find any good profits in the market. It is expected that refrigerants will continue to be weak, so it is hard to be optimistic.

1、 Price trend

According to the monitoring data of business agency, the average ex factory price of domestic chlorinated paraffin 52 grade I product was 4733 yuan / ton on August 24, and 4733 yuan / ton of domestic chlorinated paraffin 52 grade I product on August 28, which was stable this week. .

2、 Market analysis

The price of chlorinated paraffin was stable this week. The factory quotation of chlorinated paraffin 52 in Jiangsu Province is 4600-5200 yuan / ton, that in Hebei Province is 4000-4800 yuan / ton, and that in Henan Province is 4300-5200 yuan / ton. The factory quotation of chlorinated paraffin 52 in Northeast China is 4400-5300 yuan / ton. The factory quotation of chlorinated paraffin 52 in Shandong Province is 4500-4900 yuan / T. The factory quotation of chlorinated paraffin 52 in Northwest China is 4600-5300 yuan / ton. The factory quotation of chlorinated paraffin 52 in East China is 4500-4800 yuan / ton. The factory quotation of chlorinated paraffin 52 in North China is 4200-5000 yuan / ton. The factory quotation of chlorinated paraffin 52 in South China is 4500-5000 yuan / ton.

This week, the raw material market is mainly stable. The market of raw material liquid wax has been stable and the price fluctuation is small. The raw material liquid chlorine shipment situation is general, the demand needs to be improved, and there may be an upward trend in the short term.

3、 Future forecast

Chlorinated paraffin analysts believe that the current price of chlorinated paraffin is stable and the cost support is acceptable. The recent trading of chlorinated paraffin is flat, and the demand is gradually increasing. It is expected that the market of chlorinated paraffin will rise steadily in the short term.

Trade name: octanol

Latest price (August 26): 6966.67 yuan / ton

On August 26, the factory price of octanol in Shandong Province dropped slightly, which was 33.33 yuan / ton or 0.48% lower than that on August 24. The upstream raw material market price fluctuated slightly, affected by the supply and demand side, which had a negative impact on the octanol price. The downstream DOP market is stable and the downstream customers are generally enthusiastic about octanol purchasing.

Recently, the factory price of octanol in Shandong Province has fluctuated slightly: the manufacturer’s quotation is about 6900 yuan / ton.

Last week, the domestic liquid ammonia market remained stable in most regions, and the prices in some regions fluctuated upward. The prices in Shandong, the main production area, rose slightly, and Hebei followed the Shandong market. According to the monitoring of the business agency, in Shandong Province, the rising range of liquid ammonia was about 100 yuan / ton in the week of 17th, and the mainstream market quotation was 2800-3000 yuan / ton.

The liquid ammonia in Shandong has been rising in a narrow range for two consecutive weeks. The main reasons are that the large plants are still in the maintenance period. The amount of liquid ammonia is generally used by itself, and a small amount of it is mainly exported. The pressure on manufacturers’ inventory is not great. The quotation of enterprises has also continued to rise, with an increase of more than 300 yuan / ton for two consecutive weeks. At the beginning of this week, the installation facilities of factories have been started successively and returned to normal. The manufacturers mainly suspend export sales, and they will maintain a relatively high level in the near future.

In other regions, the price of liquid ammonia in Hebei also rebounded, with a range of 50-100 yuan / ton. At present, the price has returned to the level in early July. At present, the Cangzhou unit of a plant in Hebei still produces a small amount of liquid ammonia, so the pressure is not big. The amount of liquid ammonia in the region basically maintains a balance between supply and demand, and the current price is 2850-3000 yuan / ton.

In the future, the business agency believes that the price of liquid ammonia is mostly stable near the end of the month, and some of them are rising slightly. It is expected that the domestic liquid ammonia market will consolidate at a high level in the near future, and the trend of various regions will be differentiated to some extent. In the short term, due to the maintenance of some units, the partial supply imbalance may be caused. However, in the late stage of plant resumption in Shandong, the ammonia quantity will be accumulated step by step, and the price may be subject to certain restrictions 。 From the demand side, the downstream procurement is moderate. Although urea has winter storage, the current social inventory is still high and the price support is limited. In terms of the downstream fertilizer market, affected by the overseas epidemic situation, the reduction of export supply is still driven by domestic rigid demand. Therefore, affected by both supply and demand factors, the price of liquid ammonia is expected to be stable in the near future.

1、 Price trend

The comprehensive price of potassium chloride rose slightly this week. This week, the average price of the mainstream comprehensive quotation of potassium chloride rose from 1850.00 yuan / ton at the beginning of the week to 1855.00 yuan / ton at the end of the week, with an increase of 0.27%, and a decrease of 18.10% compared with the same period of last year. Overall, the market of potassium chloride rose slightly this week, and the commodity index of potassium chloride on August 21 was 58.89.

2、 Market analysis

This week, the mainstream manufacturers’ quotation of potassium chloride rose slightly: the factory price of Qinghai Salt Lake potassium chloride at the weekend was 1830 yuan / ton, which was 10 yuan / ton higher than that at the beginning of the week; the marketing quotation of Anhui Badou potassium chloride at the weekend was 1880 yuan / ton, which was temporarily stable compared with the beginning of the week. The actual turnover of potassium chloride market this week is not good. Overall, the main contradiction in the market is that supply exceeds demand, the trading atmosphere is cold, the downstream procurement is mainly on demand, the overall inventory is low, the purchasing market momentum is low, and the domestic potassium chloride market is stable.

3、 Future forecast

In late August, the overall trend of potassium chloride market or low consolidation. The market of potassium chloride is facing the pressure of three mountains, namely, the large stock in Hong Kong, the weak demand and the downward trend of international prices. Therefore, the main contradiction in the current market is that supply exceeds demand. Potassium chloride analysts of the business club believe that the short-term potassium chloride market is mainly low consolidation under the influence of supply and demand and raw materials.