No support from raw materials, DOP prices fall

Price trend

 

Sulfamic acid 

According to the data monitoring of business news agency, the price of plasticizer DOP rose first and then fell in December. The price of DOP rose sharply in the middle of the month, and then stabilized. At the end of the month, the price lost its support and fell in shock. On December 22, the price of DOP reached the highest point of 10566.67 yuan / ton, an increase of 8.19% compared with the price at the beginning of the month; on December 31, the average price of DOP quotation was 10350.00 yuan / ton, a decrease of 2.05% compared with the highest point of the month.

 

Upstream market of industrial chain

 

It can be seen from the octanol price trend chart that the octanol price rose sharply in the first and middle of December, and then stabilized. The rise of octanol price leads to the rise of DOP raw material cost, which promotes the rise of DOP price. As the octanol price tends to stabilize, DOP’s rising momentum weakens, and DOP’s price loses support.

 

From the trend chart of phthalic anhydride, it can be seen that the price of phthalic anhydride has been declining all the way in December, and the cost of phthalic anhydride, the raw material of DOP, has decreased, which has great pressure on the decline of DOP. In the first and middle of the month, due to the support of octanol price and the excessive growth of phthalic anhydride in the early stage, the pressure on the decline of DOP is limited. However, with the stabilization of octanol price, the decline of phthalic anhydride price highlights the downward pressure on DOP, and DOP will fall in the future The pressure is high.

 

Downstream market of industrial chain

 

It can be seen from the PVC price trend chart that the PVC price rose first and then fell in December, and the overall PVC market fell sharply, with a monthly decline of 8.54%. PVC market fell sharply, DOP demand fell, DOP downstream market weak, plasticizer DOP market bad increase.

 

Market summary and future expectation

 

Bai Jiaxin, DOP data analyst of business society, believes that DOP prices rose sharply in early December due to the support of octanol price. With the stabilization of octanol price, phthalic anhydride price continued to fall, DOP cost decreased, and DOP price lost support. In contrast, the PVC market fell in the last ten days, PVC prices plummeted, DOP demand was weak, downstream customers’ purchasing enthusiasm was low, and the downward pressure of DOP increased sharply. Generally speaking, the cost of DOP is decreasing, the demand of DOP is decreasing, the purchasing enthusiasm of DOP downstream customers is decreasing, the DOP market is falling in the future, the pressure of DOP falling is increasing, and the DOP price is expected to have a larger decline in the future.

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Acetone market price fell sharply in December

Acetone market in East China fell by 30% in December

 

sulphamic acid

Acetone price trend in East China market in December

 

Acetone market fell mainly in December, and showed a broad decline trend towards the end of the month. According to the monitoring data of the business news agency, in the East China market, the daily price on December 1 was 8850 yuan / ton, while the daily price on December 30 was 6200 yuan / ton, with an overall decline of 29.94%. On the morning of the 30th, Yangzhou market was opened down by 800 yuan / ton, and the offer was executed by 6200 yuan / ton. The follow-up of market trading atmosphere is limited, and the weather is getting colder near the end of the year. The mentality of cargo holders is obviously under pressure. After this wave of sharp decline, the terminal factory slightly inquires for orders, and the trading volume of replenishers is still insufficient.

 

Quotation of mainstream factories and market in December

 

The downstream market fell sharply. On the one hand, the market of bisphenol A fell a lot. After the epoxy resin downstream of bisphenol a lost its favorable policy support, the liquid resin showed a sharp decline, from nearly 30000 yuan / ton to 21500 yuan / ton at present. With the decline of market price, the operating rate of the industry gradually declined, which was a bad support for the raw material bisphenol A. According to the monitoring data of business news agency, the market of bisphenol a dropped from 18860 yuan / ton to 13325 yuan / ton in December, down 29.88%, and there were few transactions near the end of the month, and the price of real order was lower. On the other hand, the operating rate of downstream MMA and MIBK plants has declined. Under the current situation, coupled with weather reasons, many factories have holidays ahead of time, and some factories have lower operating rate due to environmental protection reasons, resulting in the decline of purchasing demand of terminal factories and the further decline of market demand for raw materials.

 

Market price trend of bisphenol A in December

 

First, pure benzene showed a downward trend in December. After entering the middle of December, the market of pure benzene in Shandong turned around and went down. According to the monitoring of business news agency, the daily price of pure benzene in Shandong fell from 4566 yuan / ton on December 10 to 4204 yuan / ton at the end of the month, with an overall decline of 7.93%. Second, the raw material propylene also showed a downward trend after entering the middle of December, from 8191.4 yuan / ton on the 10th to 7330 yuan / ton at the end of the month, with an overall downward trend of 10.52%. Especially in the latter half of the year, the external supply continued to flow in, the supply increased significantly, the enterprise inventory was under pressure, the real order space increased, and the downstream delivery continued to decline, which made the market information chaotic Under the cold trading, the market kept falling. Both raw materials showed a downward trend, and the support for the downstream was obviously insufficient.

 

In the view of the business community, the market trading performance is cold, the operator’s mentality is under pressure, the offer of the goods holder keeps falling, and the offer of the downstream is also bottomless. Under the pressure of the goods holder, the two-day decline is more than 1000 yuan. As the new year’s Day holiday approaches, factory replenishment has not improved significantly. The business community expects that the acetone market will continue to maintain a weak operation, and the market just needs to follow up before the festival. However, the market offer is expected to stop falling and rise slightly. Currently, the mainstream market in East China is offering 6200 yuan / ton, and the short-term negotiation range in East China may be 6100-6300 yuan / ton.

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This week’s sulfur price was stable (12.21-12.27)

1、 Price trend

 

sulphamic acid

According to the price monitoring of business news agency, the trend of sulfur price in East China this week was stable. The average price of sulfur production in the week was 1013.33 yuan / ton, up 101.33% year on year.

 

2、 Market analysis

 

This week, the domestic sulfur market was stable as a whole. The inventory of refineries in various regions of China was low. The quotation of sulfur in the week was stable and small. The downstream factories and traders purchased on demand, and the shipment was smooth. The port’s cargo rights were concentrated. The shippers had a positive attitude and had no intention to ship at a low price. During the week, Sinopec’s price of solid sulfur in East China Shanghai Gaoqiao Petrochemical Company increased by 30 yuan / ton, and that of liquid sulfur in Jinling Petrochemical Company increased by 20 yuan / ton, while that of other enterprises was temporarily stable; Sinopec’s price of solid and liquid sulfur in Shandong Province was stable, ranging from 1020 to 1050 yuan / ton; Sinopec’s price of solid sulfur in North China was 910-920 yuan / ton, while that of liquid sulfur was increased by 30 yuan / ton, ranging from 890 to 980 yuan / ton.

 

Downstream phosphate fertilizer market trading slightly flat, winter storage fertilizer pull up, the price is on the high side, the overall price trend stable operation. In terms of sulfuric acid, the domestic market performance is stable. The main manufacturers in Shandong have stable start-up, stable prices and better downstream demand. It is expected that the sulfuric acid market will run smoothly in the later period.

 

3、 Future forecast

 

Future forecast: sulfur analysts of business society believe that the domestic sulfur market is running smoothly, the domestic refinery inventory remains low, the downstream demand is fair, the low price is hard to find, and the quotation is firm. It is expected that the short-term sulfur market will be stable.

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Epichlorohydrin prices up this week (12.21-12.27)

1、 Price trend of epichlorohydrin

 

Sulfamic acid 

(Figure: p-value curve of epichlorohydrin product)

 

2、 Market analysis

 

Epichlorohydrin market prices rose this week. According to the data of the business club’s block list, as of December 27, the average price quoted by epichlorohydrin enterprises was 12666.67 yuan / ton, up 4.11% compared with the beginning of the week, and down 3.06% compared with November 27.

 

Recently, some factories have been shut down for maintenance. The overall operating rate of the market is not high, and the dealers support the market. However, the follow-up of downstream demand is insufficient, the purchasing enthusiasm is not high, the replenishment is just needed, and the market transaction atmosphere is not warm. On December 25, the mainstream price of epichlorohydrin in Shandong was around 11900-12000 yuan / ton.

 

According to the data monitoring of the business agency, the price of epichlorohydrin of some enterprises is summarized (for reference only, the spot price of the merchants depends on the market, and the actual transaction price is mainly through negotiation.)

 

Enterprise market price specification date

Shandong rongnuo Chemical Sales Co., Ltd. ﹣ 12400 yuan / ton ﹣ premium products; 99.9% min ﹣ 2020-12-25

Aite (Shandong) new materials Co., Ltd.? 12500 yuan / ton,? High quality products; 99.9% min? 2020-12-24

Jinan Mingwei Chemical Co., Ltd. ﹣ 12500 yuan / ton ﹣ GB 99.9 ﹣ 2020-12-24

Jinan Mingyu Chemical Co., Ltd. ﹣ 12500 yuan / ton ﹣ GB 99.9 ﹣ 2020-12-24

Shandong Yukang Chemical Co., Ltd. > 13000 yuan / ton; 99.9% min 2020-12-22

Jinan aochen Chemical Co., Ltd. ﹣ 12500 yuan / ton ﹣ high quality products; 99.9% min ﹣ 2020-12-21

Zibo tengshuo economic and Trade Co., Ltd.? 12300 yuan / ton? Excellent products; 99.9% min? 2020-12-21

Upstream propylene, December 25, Shandong propylene market prices generally downward. According to the price chart of the business community, propylene prices rose continuously in late November, with an increase of over 12%. From the end of the month to the beginning of the month, the price remained stable again. On the 4th, the price began to rise comprehensively. From the 3rd to the 8th, the price rose about 450 yuan / ton, up 5.90%. On the 9th, the price remained stable. On the 10th, some enterprises made up for the price rise, and some enterprises fell slightly. On the 11th, the price began to decline for the second time, and continued to decline on weekends. On the 14th, the price dropped 200-250 yuan / ton On the 21st, the overall price rose by about 50 yuan / ton and then remained stable. On the 24th, the price fell individually. Today, the price generally declined by 50-100 yuan / ton. Now, the market transaction is between 7800-8150 yuan / ton, and the mainstream price is between 7800-7850 yuan / ton. Now the factory stock is general, the shipment is a little cold.

 

On December 25, the market of downstream epoxy resin was in a weak state. At present, the cost pressure is slowing down, the enthusiasm of downstream inquiry and purchase is not high, the factory delivery is not smooth, and some prices are down.

3、 Future forecast

 

According to the epichlorohydrin analysts of business news agency, the current market supply is limited, which has certain support for the price. However, the price of raw material propylene is reduced, the cost support is weakened, and the downstream enthusiasm is insufficient. The market continues to play games. It is expected that in the short term, the epichlorohydrin market may focus on the range arrangement, and more attention should be paid to the market information guidance.

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The price of phthalic anhydride market decline overall in 2020

According to statistics, the domestic price of phthalic anhydride will decline in 2020. The price at the beginning of the year is 6300 yuan / ton, and the price at the end of the year is 5750 yuan / ton. In 2020, the price of phthalic anhydride will drop by 8.73% in the whole year. The highest price of the whole year will appear on November 25, with the highest price of 7537.5 yuan / ton. The lowest price of the whole year will appear on April 5, with the lowest price at the end of the year of 4300 yuan / ton, with the maximum amplitude of 75.29% The price trend can be roughly divided into three stages: the first stage is from the beginning of the year to the beginning of April, when the price of phthalic anhydride falls sharply; the second stage is from early April to late November, when the market price of phthalic anhydride rebounds and rises; the third stage is from the end of November to the end of the year, when the market price of phthalic anhydride rises and falls.

 

Sulfamic acid 

In the first stage, the domestic price of phthalic anhydride dropped sharply from 6300 yuan / ton at the beginning of the year to 4300 yuan / ton at the beginning of April, a drop of 31.75%. The domestic phthalic anhydride market fell sharply. First, the operating rate of domestic phthalic anhydride market remained at a high level of about 70%, downstream factories maintained just need to purchase, factory inventory pressure continued, high-end transactions were blocked, and the wait-and-see mentality was strong. The domestic phthalic anhydride plant operated stably, the spot supply of phthalic anhydride was sufficient, the delivery situation was not good, and the price of phthalic anhydride kept falling. Second, the price of upstream raw material o-benzene has been declining. The domestic market price of o-benzene has dropped from 6200 yuan / ton to 3800 yuan / ton, with a decrease of 38.71%. In addition, the spot supply of o-benzene is sufficient during this period, and the port inventory has been above 20000 tons. The price of upstream raw material o-benzene has dropped sharply. The market price of phthalic anhydride has lost cost support and the market price of phthalic anhydride has declined. Third, due to the poor demand of downstream plasticizer industry, the market price of phthalic anhydride is not good, and the market price of phthalic anhydride is greatly reduced.

 

The second stage is from early April to late November when the market price of phthalic anhydride rebounds. The price in early April was 4300 yuan / ton, up to 7537.5 yuan / ton in late November, up by 75.29%. During this period, the domestic market price of phthalic anhydride remained volatile from early April to October. From October to late November, the domestic market price of phthalic anhydride rose rapidly. During this period, some manufacturers stopped their plants, the operating rate of phthalic anhydride dropped to about 60%, the spot supply decreased, some manufacturers’ orders increased, there was no overstock in the market, and the market price of phthalic anhydride rose sharply. In addition, the market price of upstream raw material o-benzene has risen recently, the port o-benzene is sold well, the inventory has been exhausted, there are many o-benzene maintenance devices in the field, the spot supply of o-benzene is very tight, and the price of phthalic anhydride is affected by the cost support. The downstream starts generally, mainly purchases on demand, and has a strong wait-and-see mentality. The maintenance of domestic phthalic anhydride plants has increased, and the delivery of phthalic anhydride in the yard has improved. Recently, the domestic plasticizer market has risen sharply, the DOP market price has risen sharply, and the plasticizer industry has risen sharply. Driven by the sharp rise in the downstream market price, the domestic phthalic anhydride market price has skyrocketed.

 

The third stage is from the end of November to the end of the year, when the market price of phthalic anhydride rises and falls. The market price of phthalic anhydride dropped by 23.71% from 7537.5 yuan / ton at the end of November to 5750 yuan / ton at the end of the year. At this stage, the domestic market price of phthalic anhydride dropped rapidly, and the market price of phthalic anhydride in East China continued to decline. The downstream factories maintained just purchasing, the factory inventory pressure increased, and the high-end transaction was blocked. Recently, the factory inventory increased, and the market price of phthalic anhydride declined. In East China, the mainstream price of neighboring France is 5700-5900 yuan / ton, and in naphthalene method is 5500-5700 yuan / ton; in North China, the mainstream price of phthalic anhydride market is 5700-5900 yuan / ton, most of the manufacturers in the market price callback, the downstream start-up is not high, the demand procurement is main, the wait-and-see mentality is strong, the domestic phthalic anhydride plant is stable, the spot supply of phthalic anhydride in the market is sufficient, and the downstream demand of phthalic anhydride is low The demand for phthalic anhydride decreased, and the price trend of phthalic anhydride continued to decline. In addition, the price of upstream phthalic acid continued to decline, the maintenance device of phthalic acid continued to restart, the spot supply increased, and the price of phthalic acid dropped. As a result, the phthalic anhydride market lost cost support and the price of phthalic anhydride declined. The downstream DOP market price remained high, the downstream demand was normal, the customer purchasing enthusiasm was general, the DOP high-end transaction was blocked, the DOP market mainstream transaction price remained high, but the phthalic anhydride market price continued to fall due to the poor spot delivery situation, so the phthalic anhydride market price fell rapidly.

 

On the whole, the market trend of phthalic anhydride in China will fall by 8.73% in 2020. Phthalic anhydride manufacturers reflect that phthalic anhydride still has losses and profits will decline in 2020. The price trend of phthalic anhydride upstream in 2020 is as follows:

 

As can be seen from the upstream trend chart of o-benzene, the price trend of o-benzene is similar to that of phthalic anhydride market. However, in 2020, the impact of NEFA phthalic anhydride on o-phthalic anhydride will be greater, the market of o-phthalic anhydride will be depressed, and the market price of phthalic anhydride will decline.

 

The market price trend of phthalic anhydride downstream DOP is as follows:

 

In 2020, the price of downstream DOP will rise sharply, with an annual increase of 43.12%. The good market situation of downstream plasticizer industry is a major positive impact on the phthalic anhydride industry, and the market price of phthalic anhydride will not decline due to this impact.

From the price trend chart of domestic phthalic anhydride in recent four years, it can be seen that the high price of phthalic anhydride market generally appears in the fourth quarter, and the price trend of phthalic anhydride market declines in the second and third quarters. The market demand of phthalic anhydride market is general in 2020, and the market has declined. However, phthalic anhydride manufacturers report more losses in the first and third quarters of 2020, and it is expected that the domestic market price of phthalic anhydride will decline significantly in 2021, which is less likely for the plasticizer industry Due to the recovery of the real estate market, the demand may rise, so the market price of phthalic anhydride may rise in 2021. It is estimated that the highest price of phthalic anhydride market in 2021 may be in the fourth quarter, with the highest price of about 7500 yuan / ton, and the lowest price may be in the second quarter, with the lowest price of about 4500 yuan / ton.

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Bromine market price is stable and upward

1、 Price data:

 

sulphamic acid

According to the data monitoring of the bulk list of business associations, the domestic bromine market has been rising steadily in recent years. As of December 22, the average price of bromine in Shandong was about 33277 yuan / ton, an increase of 2.22% compared with the beginning of the month, and an overall increase of 7.93% over the same period last year.

 

2、 Cause analysis

 

Recently, affected by the cold weather in northern China, many bromine manufacturers have stopped, and the spot supply in the market continues to decline. In addition, Weifang district is approaching the parking period, the market supply is not expected to be sufficient, the overall inventory in the industry is low, and the enterprise’s price intention is good, while the downstream market is weak, the overall demand is soft, the conflict with high bromine price is obvious, and the game between supply and demand in the industry is obvious Mainstream bromine enterprises offer about 33000-34000 yuan / ton.

 

On the upstream side, the domestic sulfur market is stable and firm, and there is no low-cost shipping intention of the shippers. At present, the downstream demand is stable, the transaction is good, and the procurement is mainly based on demand. The future market pays attention to the follow-up of the downstream, which is about 1013 yuan / ton. The price of mainstream sulfuric acid manufacturers is temporarily stable, and the inventory of manufacturers is small, and the downstream is active in purchasing sulfuric acid, which is about 437 yuan / ton. The price of caustic soda is weak and stable OK, the purchasing demand of downstream market is general, and there is a certain conflict with the current price of caustic soda. At present, it is about 485 yuan / ton. It is expected that the follow-up or narrow range of caustic soda consolidation will be weak. The main downstream flame retardant market of bromine is running smoothly, and the industry starts to operate smoothly. The demand for bromine is general, and the overall intention of receiving goods is insufficient, which conflicts with the high price of bromine.

 

3、 Future forecast

 

According to the bromine industry analysts of the business society, the enterprises in Weifang, the main bromine production area in China, have basically entered the shutdown period and can only recover after passing the acceptance inspection on February 19, 2021. The supply side of the market is difficult to recover in a short time, while the performance of the downstream market is flat, the support of the demand side is insufficient, and the game between supply and demand is seesaw. It is expected that bromine will continue to operate stably in a short period of time.

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Weak market operation of soda ash this week (12.14-12.21)

1、 Price trend

 

Sulfamic acid 

According to the monitoring data of business agency, the domestic soda ash market is weak. The average market price at the beginning of the week was 1446 yuan / ton, while that at the weekend was 1400 yuan / ton. The price fell by 3.18%, 10.26% compared with the same period last year. The commodity index of light soda ash on December 20 was 71.79, unchanged with yesterday, down 39.09% from the highest point of 117.86 (2017-11-21) and 13.68% higher than the lowest point of 63.15 on November 18, 2015. (Note: period refers to 2011-09-01 to now)

 

2、 Market analysis

 

According to the business agency, the atmosphere of domestic soda ash market is light, and downstream manufacturers are cautious and wait-and-see attitude. The price of soda ash in Central China is weak. The mainstream market price of light soda ash is about 1200-1300 yuan / ton. The market atmosphere is general. The overall downstream manufacturers are cautious. It is expected that the price of soda ash will be stable in the short term. The price of soda ash in North China is weak. The mainstream market price of light soda ash is about 1400-1500 yuan / ton. The market atmosphere is general. The overall downstream manufacturers are cautious. It is expected that the price of soda ash will be stable in the short term.

 

Raw materials: this week, the domestic crude salt trading atmosphere is relatively stable, more continuation of the early price trend. The supply of well and mineral salt manufacturers is stable, the lake salt market continues to operate stably, and the supply is stable; the purchase of sea salt market declines slightly.

 

Demand: glass prices have risen in recent weeks. In Shahe of North China, the inventory of production enterprises is low, the overall trend of the spot market is relatively stable, and the market transaction price has also increased by a certain extent, with an increase of 0.5-0.8 yuan / m2. The market demand in East China is good, the inventory of production enterprises is low, the number of glass imported from other ports in East China decreases, and the price of local enterprises rises by 0.7-2.2 yuan / m2. In South China, manufacturers’ prices rose by 1-2 yuan / m2. Traders and processing enterprises purchased on demand, and glass demand remained at a normal level. The overall trend of glass spot market in Central China is good, and the prices of manufacturers have increased by about 1.5 yuan / m2. The overall trend of the spot market of glass in Southwest China is general, and the price of manufacturers has not been raised much, with an increase of about 0.7 yuan / m2. In Northeast China, local demand is weakening. At present, manufacturers are exporting to North China and East China, and the quotation is slightly increased, with an increase of 0.5-0.8 yuan / m2. The overall trend of glass spot market in Northwest China is general, and the price of manufacturers has increased slightly, with an increase of 0.5-0.8 yuan / m2.

 

According to the price monitoring of the business agency, in the 50th week of 2020 (12.14-12.18), there are 1 commodity rising, 3 falling and 1 commodity falling to 0. The main commodities that rose were calcium carbide (5.91%), light soda ash (- 3.18%), hydrochloric acid (- 0.81%) and PVC (- 0.44%). This week, all rose or fell 0.3%.

 

Business agency analysts believe that: soda ash market performance is weak, manufacturers’ prices have been close to the cost line, some manufacturers have reached the cost line. When the downstream manufacturers of glass have increased but need to purchase, traders hold a wait-and-see attitude, market prices follow the market. According to the comprehensive forecast, the weak operation of domestic soda ash market in the short term is given priority to.

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China’s domestic PC prices fall this week

According to the data monitored by the business agency, as of December 18, the comprehensive price of PC market was 21666.67 yuan / ton. This week, the PC market was in a weak position. The focus of negotiation moved down, the purchasing atmosphere was cold, and most manufacturers lowered their prices, which dropped by 5.80% compared with the beginning of December. The upstream raw material support was insufficient, and the PC market was expected to continue to be weak.

 

Sulfamic acid 

This week, the domestic PC market transaction atmosphere is cold, the price continues to be weak, manufacturers cut prices one after another, downstream cautious wait-and-see, slow shipment, the overall market is in a flat, just need to order, the spot supply side is normal, the enterprise operating rate is normal, the inventory side is normal, the current delivery is smooth, the good factors are insufficient, the raw material market is weak, the support for PC cost side is insufficient, PC market is weak The market as a whole is pessimistic, and the willingness to reduce prices is increasing.

 

The upstream bisphenol a market is in a weak position. The price reference is 17700-17800 yuan / ton. The actual orders are actually discussed. The delivery is slow. The contract users just need to purchase. The number of new orders is scarce. The overall market is weak. The downstream market is mainly wait-and-see. The transaction atmosphere is cold and stable in the short term.

 

On December 17, the rubber and plastic index was 736 points, down 3 points compared with yesterday, 30.57% lower than 1060 point (2012-03-14), and 39.39% higher than 528 point, the lowest point on April 6, 2020. (Note: period refers to 2011-12-01 to now)

 

PC analysts believe that: PC is expected to maintain a weak operation in the short term, mainly narrow shock finishing. (the above prices are provided by major PC manufacturers all over the country and analyzed by business PC analysts for reference only. Please contact relevant manufacturers for more price details.)

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Raw material price rises again, DOP price rises again

Price trend

 

Sulfamic acid 

According to the business agency data monitoring, the plasticizer DOP price fell first and then rose in December. As of December 16, the average price of DOP was 10266.67 yuan / ton, which was 5.12% higher than that at the beginning of the month. The DOP price is affected by the rise of raw material price, showing a sharp rise.

 

Upstream market of industrial chain

 

It can be seen from the octanol price trend chart that the octanol price rose sharply after falling in December. The overall octanol market rose sharply in December, with DOP cost rising and DOP rising momentum being greater.

 

Downstream market of industrial chain

 

It can be seen from the PVC price trend chart that PVC prices fluctuated and stabilized after a sharp rise in December. PVC price rise, DOP demand warming, DOP rise support larger, plasticizer DOP market is good.

 

Market review and future expectation

 

Business agency DOP data analyst Bai Jiaxin believes that downstream, PVC market rose in December, DOP demand rose, DOP market is good. In terms of raw materials, the decline of phthalic anhydride price offset the good support of PVC rise; however, with the sudden rise of octanol price, it became the last straw to crush DOP, and DOP price rose sharply. In the future, DOP raw material octanol price rises, phthalic anhydride price falls, DOP cost is basically stable, DOP rise support is insufficient, PVC market is stable, DOP rising momentum is insufficient, it is expected that DOP market will be strong and stable.

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The price of silicon metal tends to be stable

After the second week of December, the average price of domestic metal silicon (441) market basically kept stable.

 

Sulfamic acid 

According to the data of business agency, on December 15, the average market price of domestic silicon metal (441) was 14283.33 yuan / ton, a decrease of 0.12% compared with the average market price of 14300 yuan / ton last Friday (12.4); compared with the average market price of 13925 yuan / ton at the beginning of the month (12.1), the average market price was 10491.67 yuan / ton, an increase of 36.14%; compared with the average market price of (1.1) at the beginning of the year, 11833.33 yuan / ton 70%.

 

On the 15th, the prices of 441 silicon in different regions were as follows:

 

The price range of silicon metal in Fujian is 13700-13900 yuan / ton, that in Sichuan is 13900-14100 yuan / ton, that in Kunming is 14000-14100 yuan / ton, that in Shanghai is 15000-15200 yuan / ton, that in Tianjin port is 14300-14500 yuan / ton, and that in Huangpu port is 14300-14400 yuan / ton 。

 

Social inventory moves down, both quantity and price rise in the early stage

 

Due to the influence of power rationing, the operating rate of silicon metal manufacturers in Yunnan Province has moved down, reducing part of their production capacity. In addition, the external purchasing volume increased in the early stage, the export market turned better, the market trading was vigorous, and the social inventory moved down. The volume and price rose in November.

 

At present, the export side purchase volume tends to be flat, the long short game is intensified, and the price tends to be stable.

 

Future forecast

 

The rise of downstream price will benefit the price of raw materials to a certain extent; superimposed on the short-term spot price, it is expected that the metal silicon price will be stable in the near future.

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