Market downturn, ammonium phosphate high volatility (7.18-7.25)

1、 Price trend

 

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According to the bulk list data of business society, the average market price of 55% powdered monoammonium was 4650 yuan / ton on July 18, and the average market price of 55% powdered monoammonium was 4640 yuan / ton on July 25. The price of monoammonium phosphate fell 0.22% this week.

 

According to the bulk list data of business society, the average market price of 64% diammonium phosphate was 4700 yuan / ton on July 18, and 4725 yuan / ton on July 25. The price of diammonium phosphate rose 0.53% this week.

 

2、 Market analysis

 

This week, the ammonium phosphate Market is still in poor condition, and the trend is volatile and weak. The price of raw sulfur continues to decline, and the cost support is weakened. The transaction focus of downstream compound fertilizer was lowered, and the purchase of raw material monoammonium was reduced. Domestic demand for diammonium is less in the off-season, mainly for export. At present, most manufacturers of ammonium phosphate have suspended their quotation, and the quotation of traders is chaotic. This week, the market quotation of 55% powdered ammonium in Sichuan is about 4560 yuan / ton, and the market quotation of 58% powdered ammonium is about 4750 yuan / ton. There is no quotation in other regions, and the actual transaction is negotiated. This week, the market quotation of 64% diammonium in Yunnan is about 4700 yuan / ton, the market quotation of 64% diammonium in Guizhou is about 4750 yuan / ton, and the market quotation of 60% diammonium is about 4300 yuan / ton. The actual transaction is negotiated.

 

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In terms of raw sulfur, sulfur prices continued to fall this week. The downstream demand continues to be weak, the enthusiasm for entering the market is general, the shipment of enterprises is poor, there is inventory pressure, there is a low-cost supply in the market, the downstream purchase is cautious, the enterprise quotation is downward, the sulfur support is weak, and the short-term sulfur market is weak.

 

In terms of raw phosphorus ore, the domestic phosphorus ore market has been running strongly this week. The market price of 30% grade phosphorus ore in Guizhou is around 1100-1150 yuan / ton, and the market price of 28% grade phosphorus ore is 980-1030 yuan / ton. At present, the downstream demand for phosphate rock is stable, and the trading atmosphere in the site is normal.

 

3、 Aftermarket forecast

 

According to the ammonium phosphate analyst of business agency, the current raw material price trend is weak, the market demand for ammonium phosphate is sluggish, the industry is cautious, and the focus of traders’ transactions is down. It is expected that the market of ammonium phosphate will continue to be weak in the short term.

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