The price of ethylene oxide will decrease month on month in June 2026. According to data, as of June 29th, the average market price of epoxyethane in China was 6800 yuan/ton, a decrease of 10.53% from the market average price of 7600 yuan/ton at the beginning of the month (6.1).
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On June 29, 2026, the mainstream market ex factory listing prices for ethylene oxide in various regions of China were as follows: the ethylene oxide market in East China was priced at 6800 yuan/ton to the outside world; The listed price of ethylene oxide in the South China market is 6700-6800 yuan/ton; The listed price of ethylene oxide in North China is 6650 yuan/ton; The listed price of ethylene oxide in the Central China region is 6800-7600 yuan/ton.
From the perspective of the price trend of ethylene oxide within the month, it has basically maintained stable operation after a significant decrease at the beginning of the month.
Reasons for maintaining stable operation within the month after the sharp decline in early June 2026
Bottom of cost stabilization: The downward space for crude oil and ethylene has narrowed, raw material prices have stopped falling sideways, and EO has lost further downward momentum;
Supply margin contraction offsets excess: In the second half of the year, multiple sets of EO devices entered maintenance one after another, reducing production volume to offset the increase in resuming production. The market’s supply of goods no longer continues to increase, and manufacturers’ willingness to raise prices has rebounded;
Stable inventory at a low level: At the beginning of the month, the price reduction and destocking were completed, and the pressure on factory inventory was significantly alleviated, no longer significantly dumping goods;
Downstream low demand replenishment: After the price drops to a low level, the panic and wait-and-see attitude in the downstream weakens, and small-scale replenishment is carried out on demand at low prices to support market transactions and enter a weak supply-demand balance zone;
Leading pricing stability maintenance: Top companies such as Sinopec and PetroChina lock in factory quotations to avoid vicious internal bidding and drive the entire market to operate horizontally.
Driven by the June ethylene oxide market: a significant decline in upstream costs, oversupply repair, and weak demand during the off-season, the negative fundamentals led to a downward shift in the monthly focus; At the beginning of the month, the concentrated release of bearish sentiment completed a rapid decline, and in the middle and late of the month, the supply and demand, as well as the marginal balance of costs, came to an end, with a narrow horizontal oscillation.
post-market forecast
In July, the overall trend showed a slight downward pressure at the beginning of the month, followed by a narrow range of oscillation and bottoming out in the middle and late of the month. The monthly average price was slightly lower than that in June; Overall supply exceeds demand, off-season demand is weak, costs are bottoming out, and there is limited room for decline, with no unilateral sharp rise or fall market.
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