Shandong formaldehyde market price rise supported by cost

According to the data of the commodity list of the business society, the market price of formaldehyde in Shandong has risen recently. On April 26, the average price of formaldehyde in Shandong was 1363.33 yuan / ton, and on April 28, the average price of formaldehyde in Shandong was 1370.00 yuan / ton, up 0.49%. The current price has increased by 7.59% month on month, and the current price has increased by 56.87% year on year.

As of April 28, the mainstream market price of formaldehyde in Central China was about 1356 yuan / ton, that in North China was 1305 yuan / ton, that in Northwest China was 1300 yuan / ton, and that in East China was 1339 yuan / ton. Recently, the atmosphere of formaldehyde market is general, and the market of formaldehyde is rising slightly.

Upstream methanol situation: methanol market is mainly rising, and the turnover of methanol market in Shandong Luzhong area increased by 30-40 yuan / ton, and 2430-2440 yuan / ton was sent to spot exchange. Methanol market negotiation price in southern Shandong increased by 80 yuan / ton to 2520-2530 yuan / ton. Linyi received the mainstream of local goods negotiation price to around 2520 yuan / ton and sent it to spot exchange, while the part of logistics goods offer price to around 2450 yuan / ton was sent to spot exchange. Shandong methanol Lubei market transaction reference price 2430 yuan / ton to spot. Methanol market continued to rise, forming support for formaldehyde.

At present, a new round of 20 day environmental protection inspection in China is coming to an end. The downstream plate production is expected to increase, and the demand for formaldehyde may rise. However, the price of upstream methanol is increased, the cost is increased, and the profit is reduced in theory. The atmosphere of formaldehyde manufacturers’ stock preparation is relatively general, and the formaldehyde market rises slightly.

Recently, the upstream raw material methanol market is on the rise, and the demand of downstream plate factories is acceptable, so the formaldehyde analysts of business society chemical branch expect that the price of formaldehyde in Shandong will mainly rise in the near future.

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Crude oil supported strongly, toluene price continued to rise (2021.4.19-4.25)

1、 Price trend

sulphamic acid

According to the data of business news agency’s block list, the overall price of toluene continued to rise this week. On April 18, the price of toluene was 5641 yuan / ton; The price of this Sunday (April 25) was 5671 yuan / ton, up 30 yuan / ton or 0.53% from last week.

2、 Analysis and comment

This week, Sinopec’s Toluene price adjustment range is + 100 / + 150 (yuan / ton). Toluene inventories at ports in East China continued to rise this week. This week, crude oil prices fluctuated at a high level, while the external price rose, supporting the price of toluene to rise. However, the lower side of the news is weak, inhibiting the rise. In terms of external market, as of April 23, the price of imported toluene from South Korea was 715 US dollars / ton, up 8 US dollars / ton, or 1.13%, from April 16; The price of imported toluene in East China was 742 US dollars / ton, up 12 US dollars / ton, or 1.64%, on April 16.

Crude oil, crude oil this week to maintain the range shock. Good news: some oil fields in Libya shut down and supply decreased. Bad: India is the third largest oil importer in the world. The number of COVID-19 infected COVID-19 has skyrocketed, and some areas have implemented blockade measures, and the recovery of crude oil demand has been suppressed. US commercial crude oil stocks unexpectedly increased. On April 16, Brent fell 0.345 USD / barrel, or 0.52%; WTI fell $1.05 per barrel, or 1.66%.

Downstream: in terms of TDI, East China’s TDI fell slightly this week, with domestic goods at 15766.67 yuan / ton, down 3.47% compared with last week and up 44.21% compared with the same period last year. The domestic TDI market is weak, the inventory of downstream terminals is fair, the demand is mainly rigid, the inquiry on the floor is cold, and the market trading atmosphere is light.

In the PX market, the domestic p-xylene ex factory price remained stable this week, at 6400 yuan / ton, up 48.84% year on year. The operation of p-xylene units in North and East China is stable as a whole. The on-site operation rate is more than 90%. The on-site supply is normal and the goods are in good condition. The on-site operation rate is about 50% in Northwest China and more than 50% in South China. As of April 23, closing prices in Asia were $830-832 / T FOB Korea and $838-840 / T CFR China.

3、 Future forecast

Analysts from the chemical branch of business society think: first, look at the supply cost side, the implementation of OPEC + production reduction, the total number of oil drilling platforms in the United States, and weekly EIA and API inventory data. Second, on the demand side, the impact of the global epidemic on crude oil demand, the recovery of the industrial chain, the economic and trade situation in Europe and the United States, and the progress of the fiscal stimulus plan. Third, look at the geopolitical situation in the Middle East, China and the United States, the progress of new technology, the dollar index and stock market linkage.

Crude oil is expected to run stronger, supporting toluene prices; Gasoline demand is expected to be active before the festival, and there is still room for price to rise. However, the rest of the downstream demand has not changed significantly, the follow-up is general, limiting the rise of toluene. Overall, it is expected that toluene will run at a high price next week, focusing on the downstream purchasing news before May Day. Continue to pay attention to the impact of crude oil and gasoline blending price trend, toluene unit spring maintenance dynamic, toluene late arrival and downstream demand change on toluene price.

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The price of monoammonium phosphate is stable, and the price of diammonium phosphate fluctuates slightly (4.19-4.25)

1、 Price trend

sulphamic acid

According to the data of business club’s block list, the average ex factory price of powdered monoammonium was 2533 yuan / ton on April 19, and 2533 yuan / ton on April 25, which remained stable this week.

According to the data of the business club’s block list, on April 19, the average ex factory price of 64% diammonium was 3125 yuan / ton, and on April 25, the average ex factory price of 64% diammonium was 3116 yuan / ton, down 0.27% this week.

2、 Market analysis

This week, the market of monoammonium phosphate was stable, and the price of some parts of China fluctuated slightly. This week, the price remained high, the trading volume increased, and the supply of goods began to be tight. The ex factory price of 55% powdered ammonium is 2450-2550 yuan / ton, and that of 58% powdered ammonium is 2550-2650 yuan / ton. On Monday, the operating rate of ammonia enterprises was about 70%.

Diammonium phosphate fluctuated slightly this week, still mainly for export, mainly for domestic market. This week, some enterprises overhauled their equipment, and the market supply decreased. The export situation is relatively good. The demand for diammonium was insufficient in the downstream, and the spring ploughing market entered the closing stage. On Tuesday, the operating rate of ammonium enterprises was about 55%.

In terms of raw materials, the domestic sulfur market rose as a whole this week. The inventory of refineries in various regions of the country remained low, and the shipment performance was acceptable. The downstream factories entered the market to purchase on demand, and the market lacked substantive information guidance, so the operators mainly kept a wait-and-see attitude. Within the week, domestic refineries adjusted their prices according to their own shipping situation, and the market generally went up.

3、 Future forecast

Business community ammonium phosphate analysts believe that at present, the raw material of monoammonium phosphate is still at a high level, and the downstream delivery situation is general. The domestic operating rate of DAP is low and the demand is insufficient. It is expected that in the short term, the market of monoammonium phosphate will be stable or there will be room for rise, while the price of diammonium phosphate will not fluctuate too much.

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Stronger cost side, higher price of aniline (202.4.19-4.25)

1、 Price trend

According to the data of the business club’s block list, the price of aniline rose within the week. On April 18, the price of aniline in Shandong was 10200-10500 yuan / ton, and that in Nanjing was 10500 yuan / ton. On April 25, the price of aniline in Shandong was 10600-10800 yuan / ton, and that in Nanjing was 11000 yuan / ton. The average price increased by 3.21% over last week, 35.86% over the beginning of the year, and 102.52% over the same period of last year.

2、 Analysis and comment

In terms of cost, the price of pure benzene in Europe and the United States rose sharply this week, driving the price of pure benzene in Asia to rise rapidly, and the domestic market also followed suit. In addition, due to the tight supply of downstream styrene, the price continued to rise, supporting the price of pure benzene to a high level. This week, Sinopec actively increased the listing price of pure benzene, twice, with a total increase of 450 yuan / ton to 7300 yuan / ton, with strong bottom support, boosting the market mentality. On Sunday (April 25), the price of pure benzene was 7050-7400 yuan / ton (average price was 7280 yuan / ton), which was 460 yuan / ton higher than last week, or 6.74%; It was 129.65% higher than that of the same period last year.

The price of nitric acid rose this week compared with last week. On Friday (April 23), the production price of nitric acid in East China was 2300 yuan / ton, up 12.2% from the beginning of the month and 53.33% from the same period last year. Nitric acid delivery is OK, the manufacturer’s quotation is up.

In terms of demand, the aniline factory’s shipment was stable within the week; In terms of devices, Dongying Huatai and Jiangsu Yangnong devices were shut down for maintenance, and the market supply was reduced; In terms of cost, the price of pure benzene rose continuously, and the bidding price of enterprises rose. Positive boost, aniline prices rose in the week.

3、 Future expectation

In terms of cost, the external Asian American arbitrage window opened and the support was strong; Sinopec’s price is high with strong bottom support; Shandong Hongrun styrene plans to test run at the end of this month, and the demand in Shandong is expected to increase. Overall, the trend of pure benzene market is expected to be strong in the near future.

Under the support of the cost side, it is expected that the next week’s price will be high and firm, focusing on the upcoming May Day holiday downstream purchasing plan. In terms of plant, Jiangsu Yangnong aniline plant is expected to restart at the end of this month. Continue to pay attention to the trend of raw materials, the follow-up of downstream demand and the impact of aniline plant dynamics on aniline price.

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Hydrofluoric acid has no vitality

According to the monitoring of business news agency, the price trend of domestic anhydrous hydrofluoric acid is temporarily stable in the near future. As of April 23, the market price of hydrofluoric acid is 10622.22 yuan / ton, and the market trend is relatively stable in the past two months with little change.

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The price trend of domestic hydrofluoric acid is stable in the near future. Up to now, the mainstream price of domestic hydrofluoric acid is 9500-11000 yuan / ton. The domestic hydrofluoric acid trading market is mainly stable. The domestic hydrofluoric acid spot supply is normal in the near future, and the price trend in the market is mainly stable. The market is “lifeless”.

The domestic hydrofluoric acid spot supply is normal. Although some hydrofluoric acid units are overhauled, the hydrofluoric acid market spot supply is acceptable. Up to now, the mainstream hydrofluoric acid negotiation in the southern region is 9500-10500 yuan / ton, and the hydrofluoric acid price in the northern market is 10000-11000 yuan / ton. In the near future, the price trend of domestic hydrofluoric acid market is mainly stable, and the manufacturers reflect that the recent trend is mainly stable, but the spot supply of hydrofluoric acid on the floor has increased in the later stage, and the market price is facing downward pressure.

The market price trend of fluorite, the raw material of hydrofluoric acid, dropped slightly. As of the 23rd, the domestic fluorite price was 2733.33 yuan / ton, 1.01% lower than the price of 2761.11 yuan / ton in early March. Recently, the domestic fluorite spot supply is normal. However, as the temperature warms up, some manufacturers in the north are about to start their parking devices. At that time, the on-site supply may increase, and the domestic fluorite price trend will decline slightly. Up to now, the mainstream of domestic fluorite negotiations is 2600-2800 yuan / ton. The falling price of fluorite on the floor is the bad influence of hydrofluoric acid market, and the price trend of domestic hydrofluoric acid market is mainly stable.

The market of domestic refrigerants has risen slightly. Recently, the sales of the automobile industry is better, and the market of refrigerants has improved. The demand is mainly based on demand. The trend of the refrigerants industry has risen slightly, and the market of various types of refrigerants has risen slightly. However, the manufacturers are under pressure to ship, and the sales pressure is greater. However, the peak season of the refrigerator industry itself is in March and April, but the peak season is not prosperous, The price of refrigerants has not increased much, the start-up of the refrigerants industry is not high, and the market demand for hydrofluoric acid is limited. On the whole, favorable factors supported the refrigerant market generally, and the price of chloroform rose slightly, which led to the higher price of refrigerant. At present, the load of refrigerant R22 manufacturers is not high, the inventory is in a reasonable range, the market price continues to rise, but the downstream receiving capacity is limited, there are many wait-and-see emotions, the shipment situation of the goods holders is normal, some businesses still have the phenomenon of cost inversion, and the mainstream of on-site negotiations is 16000-17500 yuan / ton. Low load operation of domestic R134a manufacturers supported the price trend of R134a to rise slightly. However, the current demand-based procurement, downstream enterprises start is not high, traders wait-and-see mood is strong, refrigerant R134a current market quotation in 20000-24000 yuan / ton range, the price is high, but the transaction atmosphere is general, downstream refrigerant market has improved, but the overall operating rate is low, demand is general, hydrofluoric acid market price trend is stable.

Judging from the industrial chain diagram, the price of raw materials in the fluorine chemical industry has not changed much. The price of raw material fluorite has dropped slightly, and the price of downstream refrigerant products has risen slightly. In addition, the domestic hydrofluoric acid overhaul plant has recently been restarted, and the spot supply has increased. In general, Chen Ling, an hydrofluoric acid analyst in the business community, believes that the price of hydrofluoric acid market is under great pressure, Later prices may face a slight downward pressure.

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Raw materials continue to decline, PC market prices fall adjustment

According to the data monitored by the business community, as of April 22, the comprehensive price of PC market was 28800.00 yuan / ton, which was slightly lower than that of the same period last week. Recently, the wait-and-see atmosphere of PC market has been strengthened, the upstream raw materials are going down, and the PC market is weak and narrow.

The upstream bisphenol a continued the downward trend, the focus of discussion was low, the price reference was 29200-29500 yuan / ton, which was bad for the PC market mentality. At present, the PC Inventory was normal and there was no pressure, and the overall PC market was adjusted in a narrow and weak range, with limited space for a substantial decline.

On April 21, the commodity index of bisphenol A was 280.98, down 0.71 points from yesterday, down 0.78% from 283.19 points (2021-04-16), the highest point in the cycle, and up 289.76% from 72.09 points, the lowest point on April 6, 2020( Note: period refers to the period from March 1, 2020 to the present

PC analysts of business news agency believe that: the downward trend of raw materials, PC mentality is confused, the current inventory has no pressure, and the PC market is mainly adjusted in a narrow range, so the possibility of a sharp decline is not great( If you want to get more information about goods and master the price of goods, you can subscribe to the business community through the official account of the business community.

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The market of phosphate rock continues to recover, and the price has risen for two rounds this month, with a total increase of over 7%

According to the data monitoring of business news agency, as of April 21, the average reference price of 30% grade phosphorus ore in mainstream areas in China was around 480 yuan / ton, which was 10 yuan / ton higher than that on April 18, or 2.31%, and 34 yuan / ton higher than that on April 1 (446 yuan / ton), or 7.46%.

 

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China’s phosphate rock market recovers and prices rise in April

 

After the Qingming Festival in April, the domestic phosphorus ore market continued to recover steadily, and the terminal downstream entered the peak season to purchase, which provided support for the price increase of phosphorus ore market. On June 6, China’s phosphorus ore market ushered in the first large-scale price rise this month. Most of the phosphorus ore factories in Guizhou, Guangxi, Hebei and other places raised the market prices of middle and low-end phosphorus ores by 10-30 yuan / ton. Then the market entered the high-level finishing operation stage. During this period, I heard that some mines in Guizhou had the idea of continuing to adjust the price for the next orders, which was also certified this week.

 

On Monday (19th), some phosphorus ore enterprises in Guizhou started the second round of price adjustment in this month’s phosphorus ore market, raising the market price of medium and low-end phosphorus ore again. Among them, the range of 22% grade phosphate ore is about 20 yuan / ton, and the range of 30% grade phosphate ore is about 30 yuan / ton. After the increase, the reference price of 30% phosphate ore is about 400-430 yuan / ton, the reference price of 28% grade phosphate ore is about 340-360 yuan / ton, and the reference price of 22% grade phosphate ore is about 220-260 yuan / ton. Among them, the price of 30% phosphate ore car plate of Xifeng phosphate ore mine in Guizhou was raised to 400 yuan / ton, and the price of 30% grade phosphate ore train station platform in Kaiyang Guanglong, Guizhou was raised to 420 yuan / ton.

 

In terms of downstream yellow phosphorus, the domestic market price of yellow phosphorus increased. On April 20, the reference price of yellow phosphorus was 17566.67, up 3.94% compared with April 1 (16900.00). Affected by environmental factors, Yunnan’s large factories stopped, the spot of yellow phosphorus was tight, in addition, the downstream stock was prepared before the festival, the price in the yard rose, and the transaction price of new orders was higher. It is expected that the price of yellow phosphorus will rise steadily in the short term.

 

In terms of downstream phosphoric acid, the market of phosphoric acid has risen steadily in recent years, and the price adjustment of phosphoric acid enterprises is not much, with a slight adjustment of 50-100 yuan / ton, so we should carefully wait and see the market reaction. At present, although the support of cost side is getting stronger, the follow-up of phosphoric acid demand side is general, the inquiry enthusiasm is not high, and the purchasing just needs to be maintained. Both the buyer and the seller are in a wait-and-see state, and the trading atmosphere is not warm. At present, some phosphoric acid enterprises still hold the early quotation shipping, but the rising mentality appears, and the future market is expected to rise with the cost fluctuation. According to the monitoring of the business news agency, as of April 20, the quotation in Sichuan was 4900-5550 yuan / ton, that in Yunnan was 5200 yuan / ton, that in Hubei was 5200-5500 yuan / ton, that in Hebei was 5500 yuan / ton, and that in Guangxi was 5200-5320 yuan / ton. The prices in various regions rose steadily.

 

Stock preparation before the festival supports the recent strong trend of phosphate ore market

 

Near the labor day, the downstream market may usher in the stock before the festival, and the market trading atmosphere is good, which supports the positive attitude of the industry. Therefore, the phosphorus ore analysts of the business community believe that with the support of stock before the festival, the market price of phosphorus ore is expected to be strong and high in the near future, and the price of individual regions is expected to continue to explore.

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April 20 SBR market price continued to fall

Trade name: styrene butadiene rubber 1502

 

Sulfamic acid 

Latest price (April 20): 13875 yuan / ton

 

Key points of analysis: according to the monitoring of business news agency, the domestic price of styrene butadiene rubber was 13875 yuan / ton on the 20th, down 1.36% compared with the previous day. Since April, the price of styrene has rebounded slightly, while the price of butadiene has fallen sharply, and the cost side is mainly short. According to the monitoring of business news agency, as of April 20, the price of styrene was 9283 yuan / ton, up 5.89% compared with the beginning of the month; the price of butadiene was 6696 yuan / ton, down 9.69% compared with the beginning of the month. The increase of downstream stock is not obvious, the inquiry is not active, and the price of natural rubber is lower, which drives the market of styrene butadiene rubber gradually lower. According to the monitoring of business agency, as of April 20, the mainstream offer of Jilin Chemical’s butylbenzene 1502 market was 13800 ~ 13900 yuan / ton, Fushun 1502 market was 13700 ~ 13850 yuan / ton, and Qilu 1502 market was 13900 ~ 14000 yuan / ton.

 

Future forecast: at present, the cost and demand of styrene butadiene rubber are weak, and it is expected that styrene butadiene rubber will continue to be weak in the future.

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On April 19, the price of dichloromethane declined slightly

Trade name: dichloromethane

 

Latest price (April 19): 3600 yuan / ton

 

Key points of analysis: according to the monitoring of business news agency, the domestic price of dichloromethane was 3600 yuan / ton on the 19th, down 1.91% compared with the previous day. According to the business news agency, at present, Jinling Dongying methane chloride plant is in normal operation, Luxi high load operation and Dongyue 50% load operation. The increase of downstream stock is not obvious, and the demand side is empty; in addition, the price of liquid chlorine is low recently, and the cost side is bad. According to the monitoring of the business society, as of April 19, the mainstream ex factory price of liquid chlorine for tank cars in Shandong is about 1900 yuan / ton.

 

Future forecast: at present, there is little pressure on the supply side, but the performance of cost and demand is weak. It is expected that the price of dichloromethane will be weak in the future.

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EPS market orders less, prices down

1、 Price trend

 

According to the monitoring data of the business community, the average price of EPS common material was 10475 yuan / ton on April 12 at the beginning of this week, and 10425 yuan / ton on April 16 at the weekend, up 33.65% compared with the same period last year.

 

2、 Market analysis

 

At present, the EPS market is in a downward trend, with a slight decline as a whole. As of April 15, styrene spot in Jiangsu was about 9250 yuan / ton, up 250 yuan / ton or 2.78% from the closing price of 9000 yuan / ton on April 8. At the beginning of the week, the trend of styrene was weak, but the transaction was good. In the middle of the week, styrene stopped falling and rebounded due to the impact of the sharp rise in crude oil. The price of EPS rose cautiously. On Wednesday, EPS factory orders were large, but some downstream orders were small. Some businesses turned to wait-and-see after replenishing the right amount, and the overall transaction was poor.

 

On the supply side, Anhui Jiaxi may be put into production by the end of next week, and the demand for plates is good, so the output is expected to increase next week. At present, the packaging demand in East China, South China and other regions is weak, and orders for graphite materials still need to be arranged for a long time. As of April 15, Jiangyin Jianlong ordinary material factory 10400 yuan / ton, down 100 yuan / ton, down 0.95%, stop fuel factory 10700 yuan / ton, down 100 yuan / ton, down 0.93%.

 

3、 Future forecast

 

At present, the majority of orders in the market are still based on rigid demand, and the intention to build warehouse in batches is insufficient. It is expected that the domestic EPS price will rise slightly in the short term.

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