Product Name: n-propanol

Latest price (September 28): 7733 yuan / ton

Key points of analysis: according to the data monitoring chart of business society, on September 28, the domestic n-propanol market was stably sorted and operated. The average ex factory price of n-propanol was 7733 yuan / ton, which was basically the same as that of the previous working day. After the gradual implementation of the production and power restriction policy, the downstream operating rate of n-propanol decreased, and the downstream demand showed that it was just necessary to purchase. On the 28th, the domestic n-propanol market was organized and operated stably as a whole, and the trading atmosphere on the site was acceptable.

Future forecast: close to the national day, the downstream start-up adjustment of domestic n-propanol is not large, and the overall demand variable is small. It is expected that before the festival, the domestic n-propanol market will mainly operate stably, and the specific trend needs to pay more attention to the follow-up of downstream demand.

1、 Price trend

Latest price (September 22): 19300 yuan / ton

Key points of analysis: according to the data monitoring chart of the business society, on September 27, the phosphoric acid market was temporarily stable, and some enterprises mostly adjusted their quotations according to their inventory, but the offer was still at a high level. As the raw material prices tended to stabilize, the wait-and-see mood of the operators increased.

The phosphoric acid market is expected to operate stably in the short term.

The asphalt price of some main refineries of Sinopec increased by 50-80 yuan / ton. According to the monitoring data of business agency, from September 17 to 24, the average spot price of domestic asphalt increased from 3465 yuan / ton to 3512 yuan / ton. During the cycle, the price increased by 1.36%, 3.70% month on month and 50.25% year-on-year.

Domestic spot asphalt prices rose and fell, and the price difference between North and South gradually expanded. In terms of regions, the price rise in East China, South China and southwest China is obvious, which is mainly driven by the price increase of Sinopec, including the price increase of 70 yuan / ton in East China and 80 yuan / ton in South China and southwest China; However, prices in North China and Shandong fell, mainly due to the impact of rainfall and weather, coupled with the outflow of low-cost resources from futures and spot, and the low-end price of the market fell.

Comparison chart of crude oil and asphalt price trend of business society:

In the short term, the overall supply is expected to pick up slightly. On the demand side, rainfall has a certain obstacle to demand, but the demand for goods preparation before the National Day is expected to increase, or drive the market demand to improve slowly. Asphalt analysts of business society expect that the domestic asphalt market will maintain a narrow range in the short term.

1、 Price trend

According to the monitoring data of business society, the price of baking soda rose. On September 24, the average market price was 2693.33 yuan / ton. On September 23, the commodity index of baking soda was 168.80, an increase of 9.95 points over yesterday, a record high in the cycle, and an increase of 91.23% over the lowest point of 88.27 on December 22, 2020. (Note: the period refers to the period from September 1, 2020 to now)

2、 Market analysis

According to the business society, the price of baking soda is strong. First, it is affected by the raw material soda. The price of soda ash has increased significantly and the price is running at a high level. In the downstream, the demand for baking soda in medicine, textile and food has improved recently. Generally speaking, the price of baking soda is running better in the short term, depending on the downstream market demand.

Trade name: epichlorohydrin

Latest price (September 23): 20333.33 yuan / ton

On September 23, the epichlorohydrin market was running at a high level, up 40.55% compared with the price on September 1. At present, the raw material propylene is mainly stable, the price of glycerol is strong, the cost support is strong, the tight market supply situation continues, the goods just need to be prepared before the downstream Festival, and the market push up mentality is positive.

It is expected that in the short term, the epichlorohydrin market may operate strongly.

The market of acetic anhydride soared on September 22

According to the data monitoring of business society, the price of acetic anhydride soared on September 22, and the market of acetic anhydride rose sharply. As of September 22, the price of acetic anhydride was 12350.00 yuan / ton, up 3.35% from 11950.00 yuan / ton on September 18 of the previous trading day. The price of acetic anhydride in some enterprises increased by more than 300 yuan / ton in a single day, and the market of acetic anhydride soared on September 22.

Overview of industrial chain Market

According to the monitoring data of business society, the price of acetic acid soared during the Mid Autumn Festival, with the price of acetic acid rising by 11.03%; The price of methanol is strong and stable, and the cost of acetic anhydride is rising; Under the dual control of environmental protection and energy consumption, the start-up of acetic anhydride enterprises is low, the inventory of acetic anhydride is insufficient, and the downstream customers just need to purchase.

Market overview and future forecast

Analysts of acetic anhydride data of business society believe that the recent sharp rise in acetic acid price, the sharp rise in acetic anhydride cost and the increasing driving force of acetic anhydride rise; Affected by the dual control of environmental protection and energy consumption, the operation of acetic anhydride enterprises is low, and the supply of acetic anhydride is insufficient, which stimulates the rise of acetic anhydride price. Overall, the driving force for the rise of acetic anhydride is sufficient, and the price of acetic anhydride is expected to rise sharply in the future.

1、 Price trend

Latest price (September 18): 24666.67 yuan / ton

Key points of analysis: at present, the prices of raw hydrofluoric acid and methane oxide are rising, and the cost support is further strengthened. At the same time, due to the rapid use of quotas, the operating load of refrigerant manufacturers continues to decrease, the supply side continues to be tight, enterprises receive orders in Limited quantities, dealers’ quotations are in line with the manufacturers, and there is little room for negotiation.

R22 prices are expected to continue to rise in the short term.

On the 16th, the domestic ethyl acetate market continued to heat up, and the quotation continued to rise. On the one hand, the market of raw acetic acid soared, and the rising cost further drove up the price of ethyl acetate. On the other hand, the market supply is tight, Yankuang and Jiangyin Baichuan are still under maintenance, and the market supply is declining. Stacking pre festival goods preparation to boost purchase volume. The market continued to heat up, with a cumulative increase of more than 5% this week. As of Thursday, the quotation of ethyl acetate was in the range of 8900-9200 yuan / ton.

Future forecast: the price will reach a high point, and with the end of pre holiday goods preparation, the rise of ethyl acetate Market may slow down, dominated by recent high consolidation.

Trade name: ammonium chloride

Latest price (September 15): 1077 yuan / ton

Key points of analysis: the market of ammonium chloride is stable. According to the monitoring of business society, the price of domestic ammonium chloride dry ammonium was 1077 yuan / ton on the 15th, which was stable compared with the previous day. Although the price of raw liquid ammonia rebounded and the cost side was supported, the unit operation of the combined alkali plant has recovered to more than 70%, and the overall supply pressure of ammonium chloride hit; In addition, since September, the number of new orders received by enterprises is small, and the ex factory price has been reduced slightly. According to the business agency, on September 15, 2021, the factory price of agricultural ammonium chloride and dry ammonium in Jinshan, Henan Province was 1030 yuan / ton; The ex factory price of wet ammonium in the province is 980 yuan / ton; The ex factory price of Hubei Yihua bicyclic dry ammonium is 1070 yuan / ton.

In the future, it is predicted that the start-up of compound fertilizer is low, the new orders received by ammonium chloride enterprises are less than expected, and the phased high of urea has passed. It is expected that the ammonium chloride market will continue to show a weak callback trend in the short term.

Trade name: polybutadiene rubber BR9000

Latest price (September 14): 13250 yuan / ton

Key points of analysis: according to the monitoring of business society, as of September 14, the domestic price of CIS polybutadiene rubber was 13250 yuan / ton, down 2.65% from the previous day; On the 14th, the ex factory price of the main suppliers of synthetic rubber was basically stable. The price of CIS polybutadiene rubber of CNPC Northeast sales company was reduced by 100 yuan / ton, that of Daqing and Jinzhou Shunding was 13300 yuan / ton, and that of northeast warehouse was increased. In the past two weeks, the raw material butadiene has fallen sharply, with a strong negative impact on the cost side. In addition, the downstream goods preparation is not active, and the market traders are cautious in receiving goods, mostly selling with the purchase, so the overall offer of the market is lower.

Future forecast: the price decline of natural rubber and raw material butadiene will have a strong negative impact on the CIS polybutadiene rubber market. It is expected that CIS polybutadiene rubber will be dominated by weakness in the near future.