According to the data monitoring of the business community, as of September 27, the reference average price of 30% grade phosphorus ore in mainstream areas in China was around 1064 yuan/ton, which was 4 yuan/ton lower than that on September 1 (1068 yuan/ton), a drop of 0.37%. Compared with August 1 (the reference price of phosphate rock is 1100 yuan/ton), the price decreased by 36 yuan/ton, or 3.27%.
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It can be seen from the data monitoring chart of the business community that since September (9.1-9.27), the overall performance of the domestic phosphorus ore market has been mainly stable. At the beginning of September, the overall market situation of domestic medium and high-end grade phosphorus ore has slightly declined, and the price of some mining enterprises has decreased by about 10-20 yuan/ton. At the beginning of the month, the main reason for the weakening of the phosphate ore market was that the terminal demand of the downstream phosphate fertilizer market was average, which affected the mentality of the industry. The support for the phosphate ore demand side was loose, and the overall market atmosphere was weaker than that at the end of August.
In the middle and late September, the domestic phosphorus ore market was generally stable and consolidated. The supply in the phosphate rock yard is still tight, with less spot circulation. Some mining enterprises mainly implement early orders, and supply more pre orders. Therefore, the supply side continues to give some support to the phosphate rock market.
As of September 27, the market price of 30% grade phosphorus ore in China is around 1030-1100 yuan/ton, and there is also a gap between the price and the original ore specification, powder to lump ratio and other factors. The details need to be negotiated. The market price of 28% grade phosphate ore is near 850-980 yuan/ton, and the market price of 32% grade phosphate ore is near 1160-1200 yuan/ton. At present, the trading atmosphere in the phosphate rock yard is normal, and the downstream is mainly purchased on demand.
In terms of downstream yellow phosphorus, since September (9.1-9.26), the domestic yellow phosphorus market has risen as a whole. According to the data monitoring of the business community, on September 26, the reference price of yellow phosphorus was 36500 yuan/ton, up 14.45% compared with September 1 (32000 yuan/ton).
Forecast and analysis of phosphate rock future market trend
At present, as the National Day holiday approaches, the logistics and transportation are also stopped. The information in the phosphate rock yard is generally quiet. The phosphate ore data engineer of the business community believes that in the short term, the domestic phosphate ore market will continue to operate mainly in a stable way, and more attention should be paid to the information changes in the supply and demand side.