Trade name: styrene butadiene rubber 1502

Latest price (April 20): 13875 yuan / ton

Key points of analysis: according to the monitoring of business news agency, the domestic price of styrene butadiene rubber was 13875 yuan / ton on the 20th, down 1.36% compared with the previous day. Since April, the price of styrene has rebounded slightly, while the price of butadiene has fallen sharply, and the cost side is mainly short. According to the monitoring of business news agency, as of April 20, the price of styrene was 9283 yuan / ton, up 5.89% compared with the beginning of the month; the price of butadiene was 6696 yuan / ton, down 9.69% compared with the beginning of the month. The increase of downstream stock is not obvious, the inquiry is not active, and the price of natural rubber is lower, which drives the market of styrene butadiene rubber gradually lower. According to the monitoring of business agency, as of April 20, the mainstream offer of Jilin Chemical’s butylbenzene 1502 market was 13800 ~ 13900 yuan / ton, Fushun 1502 market was 13700 ~ 13850 yuan / ton, and Qilu 1502 market was 13900 ~ 14000 yuan / ton.

Future forecast: at present, the cost and demand of styrene butadiene rubber are weak, and it is expected that styrene butadiene rubber will continue to be weak in the future.

Trade name: dichloromethane

Latest price (April 19): 3600 yuan / ton

Key points of analysis: according to the monitoring of business news agency, the domestic price of dichloromethane was 3600 yuan / ton on the 19th, down 1.91% compared with the previous day. According to the business news agency, at present, Jinling Dongying methane chloride plant is in normal operation, Luxi high load operation and Dongyue 50% load operation. The increase of downstream stock is not obvious, and the demand side is empty; in addition, the price of liquid chlorine is low recently, and the cost side is bad. According to the monitoring of the business society, as of April 19, the mainstream ex factory price of liquid chlorine for tank cars in Shandong is about 1900 yuan / ton.

Future forecast: at present, there is little pressure on the supply side, but the performance of cost and demand is weak. It is expected that the price of dichloromethane will be weak in the future.

1、 Price trend

According to the monitoring data of the business community, the average price of EPS common material was 10475 yuan / ton on April 12 at the beginning of this week, and 10425 yuan / ton on April 16 at the weekend, up 33.65% compared with the same period last year.

2、 Market analysis

At present, the EPS market is in a downward trend, with a slight decline as a whole. As of April 15, styrene spot in Jiangsu was about 9250 yuan / ton, up 250 yuan / ton or 2.78% from the closing price of 9000 yuan / ton on April 8. At the beginning of the week, the trend of styrene was weak, but the transaction was good. In the middle of the week, styrene stopped falling and rebounded due to the impact of the sharp rise in crude oil. The price of EPS rose cautiously. On Wednesday, EPS factory orders were large, but some downstream orders were small. Some businesses turned to wait-and-see after replenishing the right amount, and the overall transaction was poor.

On the supply side, Anhui Jiaxi may be put into production by the end of next week, and the demand for plates is good, so the output is expected to increase next week. At present, the packaging demand in East China, South China and other regions is weak, and orders for graphite materials still need to be arranged for a long time. As of April 15, Jiangyin Jianlong ordinary material factory 10400 yuan / ton, down 100 yuan / ton, down 0.95%, stop fuel factory 10700 yuan / ton, down 100 yuan / ton, down 0.93%.

3、 Future forecast

At present, the majority of orders in the market are still based on rigid demand, and the intention to build warehouse in batches is insufficient. It is expected that the domestic EPS price will rise slightly in the short term.

According to the monitoring data of the business agency, as of April 16, the average ex factory price of n-butanol in Shandong Province was 11633 yuan / ton, up 1033 yuan / ton or 9.75% compared with the price on April 11 (10600 yuan / ton); Compared with the price on April 1 (reference average price of n-butanol 11000 yuan / ton), the average price increased by 633 yuan / ton, or 5.76% From January 1 to April 16, the price of n-butanol had a maximum amplitude of 10.79%. In March, the domestic n-butanol market fell sharply. The price of n-butanol rose by more than 10% in early April

In April, the decline of n-butanol continued. The downstream users of butyl acrylate digested the raw material inventory, resulting in few new orders of n-butanol. The market atmosphere continued to be cold. From the first day, the price of n-butanol continued to be weak and fell. Until the seventh day, after the market price of n-butanol dropped to a low point, the transaction of low-end market price turned better, The downstream small and medium-sized order replenishment enthusiasm increased, the n-butanol market price began to rebound from the bottom on the 8th, and the market transaction center began to move upward, but the downstream purchasing was still cautious, and the n-butanol market rose steadily. Starting from the 12th of this week, the spot transaction of n-butanol plant was gradually smooth, the downstream demand increased, the domestic n-butanol market began to rise and the rising trend continued to strengthen, and the downstream butyl acrylate market rebounded at a low level, which continued to support the n-butanol market mentality. By the end of the 16th weekend, the reference factory price of n-butanol in Shandong Province was around 11300-12100 yuan / ton, and the average price was 11633 yuan / ton. Compared with a week ago, the average price increased by 1033 yuan / ton, or 9.75% per week. Compared with the low market price in early April (10500 yuan / ton on the 7th), the average price increased by 1133 yuan / ton, or 10.79%; Compared with the beginning of the month, the average price rose 633 yuan / ton, or 5.76% in the first half of the month. Upstream, April 15, Shandong propylene market prices rose slightly. According to the price chart of the business association, the price of propylene decreased sharply in the second half of March and rose at the end of the month At the beginning of the month, the market price rose slowly, with an average daily increase of about 50 yuan / ton. From the beginning of the 6th, the price rose steadily. Today’s price rose by more than 50 yuan / ton. Now the market transaction is between 8250 and 8400 yuan / ton, and the mainstream price is about 8250 yuan / ton. U.S. propylene on April 1, down on the domestic market may have a certain impact. Propylene prices in Asia have risen slightly recently, which has little impact on the propylene market. There is no pressure in propylene market, and some units are still under repair. N-butanol industry is in a good mood, and the short-term market is mainly stable

At the beginning of the month, the market price rose slowly, with an average daily increase of about 50 yuan / ton. From the beginning of the 6th, the price rose steadily. Today’s price rose by more than 50 yuan / ton. Now the market transaction is between 8250 and 8400 yuan / ton, and the mainstream price is about 8250 yuan / ton.

Magnesium market trend

On April 15, 2021, the price range of magnesium ingots (99.9%, non pickling, simple packaging) ex factory cash including tax in the main production areas of China is generally 15500-15900 yuan / ton, mainly through actual single negotiation.

The specific price range of each region is as follows:

In fugu, the ex factory spot exchange including tax is 15500-15700 yuan / ton; in Taiyuan, 15700-15800 yuan / ton; in Wenxi, 15800-15900 yuan / ton; in Ningxia, 15650-15700 yuan / ton.

Magnesium ingot is original magnesium ingot according to national standard (GB / t3499-2011); non pickling, no wooden pallet and non payment acceptance price, mainly based on single negotiation.

According to the data of the business association, the average market price of the main production areas on the 15th was 15566.67 yuan / ton, up slightly from the quotation at the beginning of the month.

This week, the supply and demand of magnesium ingot Market is relatively stable, with little trading volume. Downstream processing enterprises mainly purchase on demand. At present, the operating rate is relatively stable. At the beginning of this month, downstream purchasing drives the turnover of magnesium ingots in the market. In addition, magnesium enterprises in the main production areas do not have much inventory at present, so they are still willing to support the price. The price of magnesium ingots rose slightly last week.

The domestic epoxy resin market continues to rise, and the record is continuously brush on the basis of the original high price. As for the “ceiling”, up to now, the liquid resin Market in East China has exceeded the level of 40000 yuan / ton (barrel), with the offer of 40000-41000 yuan / ton, and Huangshan solid resin market has also risen to 33000-34000 yuan / ton. The rise of epoxy resin is greatly supported by the good support of upstream and downstream, and the liquid resin in East China has increased by 86% since 2021.

On the one hand, the prices of bisphenol A and epichlorohydrin are high and continue to rise. The price of BPA is hardly expected to decline in the second quarter or even in the year, due to the shortage of supply and the firm offer of the stockholding company. In addition, there are many overhaul in BPA plant in the second quarter, and the supply is expected to decrease. In the second quarter, even in the year, the price of BPA is difficult to fall sharply.

The price of dicloxychloropropane was RMB 15267 / ton, which opened a wide-ranging increase in April. After the Qing Dynasty, it increased by 20% and 63% year on year. At present, the raw material price is firm and stable, and the cost pressure is still in existence. The downstream epoxy resin price continues to rise, and the factory delivery is not under pressure for a while. The market has a strong market price intention. In the short term, the market of oxychloropropane will continue to run strongly.

On the other hand, the downstream acceptance of high prices is still acceptable. Although the downstream is suffering, there are also production reduction, but the overall balance is still maintained. Overseas orders are constantly in line with high heat of domestic wind power projects and good short-term demand. However, in the long run, if the market continues to go higher, the cost cannot be transferred to the downstream, and more downstream has to choose alternative products. According to the business agency, the current liquid resin is operating normally, with the commencement rate of about 80%. The factory mainly delivers the orders in the early stage, and the price of new single is still rising; the environmental protection supervision of solid epoxy resin has affected the low commencement rate and the new single price negotiation is cautious.

From the perspective of business agencies, the cost support is strong, and it is difficult to go down in the short term under the continuous tension of bisphenol a supply. Epichlorohydrin opens a wide pull up trend and the price is high; the epoxy resin is affected by the continuous good downstream, and the market supply tension is difficult to change. The business agency expects the epoxy resin market to continue to be high in the second quarter.

1、 Trend analysis

According to nickel price monitoring of business association, nickel price continued to drop slightly on the 13th, with spot nickel price of 122416.67 yuan / ton, down 1.29% from 124016.67 yuan / ton on the previous trading day, down 4.46% from the beginning of the year, and up 25.11% from the same period last year.

2、 Market analysis

Spot nickel has been down for two consecutive days this week, almost regaining all the gains since April. Nickel price has been hovering around 120000 yuan since the high nickel matte incident in early March. This time, the weak price decline is mainly affected by macro factors, the small rise of the US dollar and the national promotion of commodity price stability. In addition, the recovery of mineral supply after the rainy season in the Philippines is expected to depress nickel prices. The overall output in April was slightly lower than that in March, but the overall output was still high, and the overall demand was stable. It is expected that spot nickel will continue to fluctuate around 120000 yuan in the short term.

Trade name: br 9000

Latest price (April 12): 13300 yuan / ton

Key points of analysis: according to the monitoring of business news agency, the domestic price of cis-1,4-polybutadiene rubber was 13300 yuan / ton on the 12th, down 1.48% compared with the previous day. On the one hand, the price of butadiene continues to weaken, and the cost of cis-1,4-polybutadiene rubber is a drag. According to the monitoring of the business community, as of April 12, the butadiene price was 6507 yuan / ton; on the other hand, the enthusiasm of downstream purchasing was not high recently, and some businesses shipped at low prices. According to the business news agency, the market quotation of cis-1,4-polybutadiene rubber is slightly lower than that of the previous period, with the mainstream newspaper of Qilu at 13000-13400 yuan / ton, and the mainstream newspaper of Qixiang, Jinzhou and Sichuan at 12700-13000 yuan / ton.

Future forecast: low price of raw materials, soft demand. It is expected that the price of cis-1,4-polybutadiene rubber will call back narrowly in the future.

1、 Price trend

According to the monitoring data of the business community, the price of caustic soda is mainly weak. At the beginning of the week, the average price of Shandong market is about 490 yuan / ton, and at the end of the week, the average price is 467.5 yuan / ton, with a price drop of 4.59%, and 11.79% compared with the same period last year. On April 8, the commodity index of caustic soda was 67.27, which was the same as yesterday, decreased by 67.48% compared with 206.87 (2017-11-14), the highest point in the cycle, and increased by 3.32% compared with 65.11, the lowest point on October 9, 2020. (Note: period refers to the period from September 1, 2011 to now)

2、 Market analysis

Caustic soda fluctuates in a narrow range, and the market operation is dominant. The price of caustic soda in Shandong is weak, and the mainstream ex factory price of 32% caustic soda is 390-490 yuan / ton. The company’s shipment is tepid, the downstream receiving situation is light and stable, and the wait-and-see atmosphere is strong. It is expected that caustic soda will continue to operate with small fluctuation in the future. In Hebei area, the market of caustic soda fluctuates mainly in a narrow range. At present, the mainstream ex factory price of 32% caustic soda is 460-590 yuan / ton. The company’s shipment is general, and the downstream receiving situation is light and stable, with a strong wait-and-see atmosphere. It is expected that caustic soda will continue to operate with small fluctuation in the future.

The market performance of liquid chlorine in the upstream of caustic soda is fair this week, and generally speaking, it mainly operates in a narrow range in the later period. From the downstream of caustic soda to the end of demand, aluminum, paper and other industries adhere to the demand-based procurement, a strong wait-and-see attitude.

According to the price monitoring of the business community, in the 13th week of 2021 (3.29-4.2), there were 3 kinds of commodities rising, 1 kind of commodity falling, and 1 kind of commodity falling to 0. The main commodities rising were hydrochloric acid (19.83%), light soda ash (0.92%) and PVC (0.14%); the main commodities falling were calcium carbide (- 2.33%). The average rise and fall this week was 3.71%.

Business analysts believe that in the near future, the caustic soda enterprises are not warm in shipment, and the downstream receiving situation is weak and stable, with a strong wait-and-see atmosphere. It is expected that the follow-up operation of caustic soda will mainly fluctuate slightly, depending on the downstream market demand.

According to the data monitored by the business community, as of April 8, the quotation of pet water bottle manufacturers was 7166.67 yuan / ton, the market focus of PET bottle chips was stable, the transaction atmosphere was general, pet cost support was insufficient, and the overall market was weak.

The price of PET raw materials is weak, the upstream support is insufficient, the downstream demand is flat, and the market transaction is flat. At present, the mainstream reference price in North China is 7100-7300 yuan / ton. The focus of negotiation is stable, mainly on the wait-and-see. The overall market has a strong wait-and-see atmosphere, and the purchasing enthusiasm is general.

The upstream ethylene glycol is weak, the price is low, the market trading atmosphere is flat, and the support for pet cost is weak. Ethylene glycol index: on April 7, the commodity index of ethylene glycol was 51.79, unchanged from yesterday, down 50.62% from the highest point of 104.87 in the cycle (2011-09-18), and up 54.46% from the lowest point of 33.53 on April 2, 2020. (Note: period refers to 2011-09-01 to now)

Business community pet analysts believe that: the upstream raw material prices are low, the downstream demand side is insufficient, the overall market shipment is slow, the pet market maintains a weak operation in the short term, and the rising trend is not obvious. (to know more about the latest market trends, please pay attention to the official account of the business community, get information on goods and grasp the price of commodities).