First, the price trend

According to the urea price monitoring of the business community, the domestic urea market price rose steadily this week, and the market purchased on demand. At the beginning of the week, the domestic factory price of the domestic urea market was 1,900 yuan/ton. On the weekend, the mainstream domestic price of the domestic urea market rose to 1,927 yuan/ton, and the weekly increase was 1.50%.

Second, the market analysis

Products: The domestic urea market has steadily increased this week, and the equipment has been partially overhauled. At present, the mainstream of Shandong Province is rising steadily, and some manufacturers’ prices have risen to 1920-1940 yuan/ton. The overall market turnover is still positive. The domestic environmental inspection atmosphere has not diminished in recent days, and local areas have been restricted in electricity consumption, and the demand is exhausted. In summer, the topdressing in summer is over, and the intermittent season is low season. The wheat fertilizer in some areas begins to enter the fertilizer preparation stage. Most of the large agricultural resource dealers see the demand. With the purchase plan, there is no way to talk about the big orders. The price of terminal agricultural products is weak, the enthusiasm for using fertilizer is difficult to improve, and the cost of input is the primary principle. It will be replaced by the same granular nitrogen fertilizer, and the start of autumn fertilizer production is early, domestically. The overall industry operating rate of compound fertilizer enterprises rebounded slightly but was slow, and the price of raw urea began to rise. At present, the domestic urea producers are very strong in price, while the downstream traders also have the willingness to replenish, but the market new orders are light, procurement Be cautious and get the enthusiasm of the goods. Some enterprises still have reduced production or maintenance, and the load on the equipment is acceptable.

Industry chain: The supply of upstream anthracite market is still tight. Recently, coal prices have risen again. The tight supply of urea raw materials has shown a significant improvement, and urea cost support is still strong. The compound fertilizer started to work low, the raw material transaction slowed down, the grassroots demand in agriculture decreased, and the price in some areas has increased.

Third, the market outlook

Domestic urea prices have risen moderately, and due to the mentality of buying up and not buying down, industrial and agricultural industries have been chasing up recently. The short-term industry is seeking the so-called bottom line support, but urea prices will slowly pick up from a cost perspective or from an international export perspective. In the long run, the positive and negative factors in the urea market should be reflected in the future. The downstream production starts low and is purchased on demand, and the pre-urea market will rise steadily in the later period.