1、 Price trend
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According to the monitoring data of business agency, the price of caustic soda was adjusted and operated this week. At the beginning of the week, the average price in Shandong market was 942.5 yuan / ton. On January 17, the average price in Shandong market was about 957.5 yuan / ton, with a price increase of 1.59% and a price increase of 98.45% over the same period last year. On January 17, the caustic soda commodity index was 137.77, unchanged from yesterday, down 48.10% from the highest point 265.47 in the cycle (2021-10-27), and up 111.60% from the lowest point 65.11 on October 9, 2020. (Note: the period refers to the period from September 1, 2011 to now)
2、 Market analysis
The price of caustic soda is stable and small this week. At present, the mainstream ex factory price of 32% alkali in Shandong is about 880-980 yuan / ton. The mainstream ex factory quotation of 32% liquid alkali in Hebei is about 950-1030 yuan / ton. Recently, caustic soda manufacturers have overhauled, but the overall impact is small. Downstream alumina enterprises mainly purchase on demand because the Spring Festival is approaching. Caustic soda manufacturers intend to raise prices before the Spring Festival, but the driving force is not strong.
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According to the price monitoring of business society, in the list of price rise and fall of chlor alkali industry in the second week of 2022 (1.10-1.14), there were 1 kind of rising commodity, 3 kinds of falling commodities and 1 kind of rising and falling commodity. The main commodities rising were: caustic soda (1.59%); The main commodities falling were PVC (- 0.60%), light soda ash (- 0.56%) and calcium carbide (- 0.36%). Both rose or fell by 0.01% this week.
Business analysts believe that recently, the overall operation of caustic soda manufacturers has remained stable, and the operating rate has not changed much. The downstream alumina enterprises still mainly purchase on demand, and the Spring Festival is approaching, and there are production reduction expectations. It is expected that the subsequent weak operation of caustic soda is mainly based on the downstream market demand.
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